NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	8.1 [220]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +23.5%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	5.2 [162]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -36.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.15	0.00	7	75%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Brian Scalabrine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.14	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gabe Pruitt	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	4	-0.23	10	70%	-0.02
Ray Allen	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.01	15	37%	-0.20	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.19,-0.4,-0.37	-0.13	-0.26	-0.03	19	43%	-0.22	5	-0.15	9	56%	-0.09

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.16	-0.00	7	57%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	12	63%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	5	68%	0.17	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	17	45%	0.04	2	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	35%	-0.03	2	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	36.7	21.5	31.3	2.8	39.1	160.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.7%

UTA +5.2%

BOS -20.0%

UTA +21.0%

BOS -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	16.2	15.5	88.5	97.8	106.4
season	15.8	15.3		108.3	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		105.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	13.5	15.6	16.4	14.5
UTA	17.3	15.4	16.4	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	25	23	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.19	-3	-2	-1	14.7	14.5	0.22	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Kevin Garnett	32	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-9	13	13.8	14.9	-1.02	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Glen Davis	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-2	-1	13.7	15.0	-1.31	16.2	16.1	0.05
Eddie House	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.6	-0.44	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Gabe Pruitt	34	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	12.4	15.7	-3.27	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Kendrick Perkins	65	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	14.6	14.5	0.10	16.6	15.4	1.14
Paul Pierce	88	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	14.6	13.4	1.25	16.6	8.8	7.77
Rajon Rondo	63	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	15.5	12.6	2.92	16.0	16.4	-0.38
Ray Allen	75	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-2	-1	14.5	14.6	-0.06	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Leon Powe	42	42	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	2	-9	15.8	13.6	2.21	16.5	15.8	0.68

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	49	49	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.35	12	-7	19	16.0	16.3	-0.28	14.8	14.2	0.56
Matt Harpring	35	35	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-6	17	15.8	16.4	-0.52	15.4	14.0	1.34
Mehmet Okur	64	69	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	15.9	16.8	-0.96	14.7	14.0	0.72
Deron Williams	76	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-3	11	16.1	16.2	-0.12	14.7	13.8	0.85
Paul Millsap	63	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	3	-1	16.4	15.6	0.78	14.7	14.1	0.56
Ronnie Price	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	5.0	16.3	-11.27	0.0	14.5	-14.52
Andrei Kirilenko	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	1	3	15.3	16.6	-1.30	14.7	14.4	0.28
Brevin Knight	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	16.2	16.1	0.12	13.8	14.7	-0.85
Ronnie Brewer	56	61	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	11	-17	16.4	15.7	0.75	13.6	16.1	-2.51
CJ Miles	43	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	12	-19	16.3	16.0	0.28	14.2	14.8	-0.56
Jarron Collins	26	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	17.5	15.6	1.93	14.3	14.6	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	93.0%
POR 82, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	92.3%
PHI 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	92.0%