NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	8.0 [244]		MVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): +27.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	6.8 [63]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (MIL): -19.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.11	0.17	-0.00	15	64%	0.32	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Joe Ingles	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	60%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	70%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	13	63%	0.25	6	-0.24	12	83%	0.05
Trevor Booker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Exum	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.02	12	62%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	11	45%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.03	0.02	10	73%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.00	10	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.13	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.14	-0.01	16	43%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.08	0.02	14	33%	-0.11	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.9	17.6	28.5	2.3	37.2	137.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.0%

UTA +27.5%

MIL -4.6%

MIL -22.1%

MIL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	17.3	13.7	15.1	107.4	107.6	104.2
season	16.2	14.5		103.8	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	18.5	16.0	17.1	17.3
MIL	13.6	15.0	12.2	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	64	63	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-6	14	16.5	18.9	-2.42	13.0	15.1	-2.09
Trevor Booker	48	46	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-1	4	16.8	17.8	-0.99	14.6	12.8	1.83
Gordon Hayward	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	17.4	16.8	0.57	13.0	15.8	-2.81
Enes Kanter	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	-4	10	17.5	16.5	1.07	13.8	13.3	0.55
Dante Exum	70	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.42	-7	9	-16	17.5	16.5	0.96	13.5	14.3	-0.84
Trey Burke	45	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	1	0	17.7	16.9	0.79	15.0	12.5	2.53
Elijah Millsap	34	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	3	-4	17.4	17.2	0.15	15.1	12.9	2.22
Rudy Gobert	70	69	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	7	-12	17.3	17.1	0.23	12.9	15.9	-2.99

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	60	62	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.31	19	-21	40	13.2	14.5	-1.22	17.4	17.1	0.29
Ersan Ilyasova	36	37	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.10	5	-7	12	12.1	14.7	-2.57	17.1	17.3	-0.20
Khris Middleton	57	58	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-9	16	13.0	14.8	-1.77	16.8	17.9	-1.07
Kenyon Martin	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	12.4	13.7	-1.35	14.4	17.4	-3.02
Brandon Knight	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-7	12	12.3	15.6	-3.34	16.8	17.9	-1.05
Johnny O'Bryant	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	0	-2	15.3	12.4	2.83	17.5	17.1	0.37
Giannis Antetokounmpo	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-3	4	12.4	15.7	-3.25	16.9	17.8	-0.89
Jerryd Bayless	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	5	-12	15.6	12.3	3.34	17.9	16.8	1.05
O.J. Mayo	40	42	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	5	-12	14.7	12.9	1.82	17.8	16.8	1.00
Jared Dudley	46	46	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	8	-18	15.0	12.4	2.61	17.6	16.9	0.69
John Henson	27	27	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.11	-22	20	-42	14.9	13.2	1.67	17.6	17.1	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.2,0.05,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.04,0,0	91.8%
GSW 113, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.32,0.1,0.03,0,0	91.2%
PHI 83, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.04,0	90.7%