NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	5.9 [637]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +32.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	2.0 [783]		LVP	Ryan Kelly (LAL): -8.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.32	0.15	0.13	-0.04	24	59%	0.34	1	-0.02	13	62%	-0.05
Kevin Love	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	12	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	16	61%	0.10	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	14	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	73%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	13	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.6	33.0	17.8	24.4	2.6	42.5	147.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.1%

CLE +4.5%

CLE +12.2%

CLE +11.5%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.1	121.1	112.1	104.2
season	15.9	15.5		108.7	101.9
opponent	14.7	14.9		108.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	13.0	16.6	17.8	16.0
LAL	15.1	15.2	18.5	14.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	71	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	15.8	16.5	-0.71	16.2	14.4	1.82
Kevin Love	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-7	21	16.1	15.4	0.76	16.1	15.0	1.05
Tristan Thompson	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	15.2	17.7	-2.49	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Matthew Dellavedova	20	20	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-2	11	16.2	15.9	0.36	17.3	15.4	1.91
J.R. Smith	72	72	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	15.4	18.3	-2.89	15.1	18.7	-3.64
Kyrie Irving	70	72	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	9	-11	15.9	16.2	-0.36	15.2	18.2	-2.91
Shawn Marion	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.48	-12	19	-31	17.0	14.9	2.07	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Timofey Mozgov	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	17.0	15.1	1.90	17.4	14.6	2.75

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	51	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-10	13	15.7	16.1	-0.43	16.6	15.1	1.48
Kobe Bryant	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-10	13	14.6	18.5	-3.85	16.4	14.9	1.51
Ed Davis	43	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-2	-3	16.4	15.3	1.11	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	59	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-7	7	14.7	18.0	-3.26	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Tarik Black	26	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	17.1	15.4	1.71	18.0	15.1	2.90
Jordan Hill	65	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	1	-9	15.4	17.1	-1.71	15.1	18.0	-2.90
Ryan Kelly	39	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	16.2	15.6	0.65	15.4	16.4	-1.07
Carlos Boozer	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	16.5	15.3	1.24	16.5	15.5	1.09
Nick Young	42	41	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.4	0.88	15.1	16.7	-1.51
Jeremy Lin	27	26	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	5	-17	18.3	14.8	3.47	14.9	16.4	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 85, ORL 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%
DAL 97, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%