NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Derrick Williams (SAC): +19.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.2 [766]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.00	10	77%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	15	62%	0.17	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	14	61%	0.08	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Ray McCallum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	66%	0.22	8	-0.25	8	87%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.12
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	13	48%	-0.00	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.07,0,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.14	0.00	22	55%	0.01	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.4	30.4	15.7	29.1	1.7	37.2	142.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +52.7%

SAC +12.8%

MIN -8.0%

MIN -13.2%

SAC +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.0	15.1	112.2	109.2	104.2
season	14.9	15.0		103.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.8		110.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.9	15.2	13.3	16.2	14.3
MIN	14.8	16.1	14.3	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	62	61	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.41	13	-10	23	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.7	13.9	1.85
Darren Collison	82	80	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-12	27	13.9	16.6	-2.72	15.2	14.3	0.93
Ben McLemore	77	76	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-8	19	14.6	13.3	1.29	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Rudy Gay	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-11	25	13.8	15.6	-1.85	15.6	13.8	1.77
DeMarcus Cousins	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-6	15	14.6	14.0	0.61	16.2	13.7	2.49
Carl Landry	54	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	12	-21	14.7	13.9	0.88	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Jason Thompson	50	50	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	14	-25	14.6	14.1	0.56	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Nik Stauskas	25	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	13	-23	13.8	14.5	-0.73	13.6	15.6	-1.94
Ray McCallum	20	21	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.16	-17	20	-37	15.9	13.9	1.95	13.3	15.5	-2.23

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Adrien	38	39	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-14	25	14.0	15.7	-1.66	13.8	14.7	-0.92
Chase Budinger	19	17	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-9	15	14.9	15.1	-0.18	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Troy Daniels	27	28	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.20	11	-14	25	12.8	15.9	-3.07	14.0	14.5	-0.54
Anthony Bennett	48	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-9	15	14.7	15.4	-0.65	12.6	15.9	-3.28
Mo Williams	55	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-16	29	14.6	15.6	-0.92	14.7	13.9	0.88
Zach LaVine	43	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	13	-29	15.6	14.6	0.92	13.9	14.7	-0.88
Thaddeus Young	47	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	9	-21	15.9	14.3	1.60	16.0	12.7	3.22
Shabazz Muhammad	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	7	-17	15.2	14.6	0.62	14.7	13.4	1.31
Andrew Wiggins	82	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	7	-17	15.4	13.3	2.07	14.4	14.2	0.12
Gorgui Dieng	60	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	11	-25	15.7	14.0	1.66	14.7	13.8	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.5%
ORL 83, BOS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.17,0	91.2%
NJN 116, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.02,0	91.2%