NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	7.3 [334]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +10.5%
Boston Celtics	78		Comeback	1.1 [369]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -17.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	11	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Mickael Pietrus	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	6	100%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Marcin Gortat	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	47%	-0.00	3	-0.05	11	45%	-0.08
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.03	-0.05	29	42%	0.15	6	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Jason Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	39%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	16	26%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	21%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	19	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	11	27%	-0.15	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	36.1	19.8	29.2	3.6	34.2	153.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +77.5%

ORL +1.0%

BOS -0.5%

BOS -31.9%

ORL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.3	90.2	86.7	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		110.1	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		102.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.1	14.6	15.9	17.4	15.4
BOS	17.2	14.8	16.9	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	61	61	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-14	33	15.2	15.9	-0.66	16.6	15.5	1.04
Dwight Howard	70	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-9	23	15.0	17.0	-2.00	16.4	15.8	0.53
Rashard Lewis	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.20	13	-8	21	15.2	16.2	-1.00	16.5	15.5	0.94
Mickael Pietrus	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-7	19	15.7	15.1	0.62	16.3	16.1	0.17
Vince Carter	75	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	4	-3	15.9	13.5	2.41	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Matt Barnes	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	3	-1	15.6	15.3	0.24	16.5	16.1	0.37
JJ Redick	14	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	7	-9	12.5	16.0	-3.46	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Marcin Gortat	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	14	-23	17.0	15.0	2.00	15.8	16.4	-0.53
Ryan Anderson	32	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.21	-11	16	-27	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Anthony Johnson	31	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.26	-14	19	-33	15.9	15.2	0.66	15.5	16.6	-1.04

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	14	14	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-10	15	16.6	16.1	0.50	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Marquis Daniels	46	47	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.22	9	-14	23	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Brian Scalabrine	16	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-7	9	16.3	16.2	0.11	16.2	15.3	0.91
Eddie House	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-14	23	16.0	16.3	-0.31	16.3	14.9	1.33
Rasheed Wallace	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.45	9	-14	23	16.4	15.8	0.63	15.5	15.3	0.16
Kendrick Perkins	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	9	-23	15.8	16.4	-0.63	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Rajon Rondo	56	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	9	-23	16.3	16.0	0.31	14.9	16.3	-1.33
Ray Allen	62	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	3	-11	16.2	16.3	-0.14	15.8	14.4	1.46
Kevin Garnett	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	7	-19	16.1	16.5	-0.37	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Paul Pierce	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	6	-17	16.5	15.1	1.39	15.4	15.7	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.15,0,0	92.6%
NOH 89, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	92.4%
CHH 101, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.19,0.45,0.11,0.03,0	91.6%