NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	116		Excitement	7.5 [296]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +31.4%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.1 [1023]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -15.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.17	0.01	21	66%	0.31	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.15	0.00	24	57%	0.24	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
David Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	60%	0.18	7	-0.20	11	100%	0.04
Michael Cage	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.01	0.02	19	79%	0.32	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.21	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	14	32%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	0.03	18	48%	-0.05	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.05
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	9	10%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.7	28.2	15.4	23.5	2.5	31.4	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +25.2%

NJN +6.2%

TOR -3.9%

NJN +18.9%

NJN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.6	118.4	111.2	102.5
season	15.6	15.5		104.9	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.7	14.8	14.9	16.4	14.4
TOR	14.9	13.4	20.4	12.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	83	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-11	29	14.0	16.4	-2.36	15.2	13.9	1.23
Sam Cassell	85	85	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.22	14	-7	21	13.7	18.8	-5.13	15.1	14.2	0.96
Keith Van Horn	81	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	14.8	12.4	2.40	15.5	13.1	2.40
Michael Cage	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-8	23	15.8	12.1	3.64	16.2	13.0	3.24
Kendall Gill	57	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-3	13	15.5	12.9	2.57	16.3	12.8	3.59
Sherman Douglas	31	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.25	-9	16	-25	16.0	13.6	2.39	11.8	16.3	-4.44
David Vaughn	23	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	9	-11	12.2	15.1	-2.85	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Chris Gatling	27	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	17	-27	13.4	14.8	-1.37	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Brian Evans	42	39	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.15	-13	20	-33	12.9	15.6	-2.70	13.6	15.9	-2.28

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	24	25	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-15	23	17.3	14.2	3.05	17.2	13.5	3.71
John Thomas	22	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-8	9	14.0	15.3	-1.28	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Dee Brown	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-15	23	14.0	16.4	-2.42	15.4	12.9	2.41
Reggie Slater	56	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-5	3	16.2	13.4	2.77	14.2	14.6	-0.43
Oliver Miller	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	12.4	15.9	-3.42	16.4	13.7	2.63
Chauncey Billups	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	15.8	14.7	1.12	12.9	14.9	-2.02
Alvin Williams	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	0	-7	14.6	15.2	-0.56	12.1	15.4	-3.26
Marcus Camby	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	17.0	12.8	4.19	14.9	13.9	1.00
Doug Christie	86	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.8	16.5	-1.72	14.0	16.9	-2.87
John Wallace	42	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	13.0	16.5	-3.48	13.0	15.4	-2.36
Tracy McGrady	72	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	8	-23	15.2	14.5	0.61	14.5	14.1	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.01,0	93.5%
NOH 89, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	93.2%
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.15,0,0	93.2%