NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	84		Excitement	5.0 [803]		MVP	Lavoy Allen (IND): +9.1%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.8 [495]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -19.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	18	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	21	36%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	28.0	15.5	24.4	2.4	31.5	127.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +56.0%

NOP -5.6%

NOP -17.1%

IND +20.5%

NOP -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.1	89.4	102.1	104.2
season	15.8	16.0		106.3	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.3	17.8	16.0	14.8	15.7
IND	14.0	14.3	16.0	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-9	6	15.6	15.7	-0.17	15.8	14.3	1.50
Luke Babbitt	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	15.5	15.8	-0.32	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Austin Rivers	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-6	0	16.3	15.3	1.05	13.0	16.2	-3.16
John Salmons	21	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	16.6	15.4	1.17	14.0	15.2	-1.18
Anthony Davis	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-10	8	15.3	16.9	-1.66	15.5	13.2	2.35
Alexis Ajinca	23	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-2	-8	16.9	15.3	1.66	13.2	15.5	-2.35
Tyreke Evans	74	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-6	0	15.2	17.4	-2.21	15.0	14.8	0.22
Jrue Holiday	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-9	6	15.4	16.1	-0.67	16.4	12.3	4.08
Dante Cunningham	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	0	-12	15.6	15.7	-0.03	15.3	14.7	0.55
Ryan Anderson	53	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	16.0	15.2	0.82	14.7	15.3	-0.57

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	52	50	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-1	14	13.9	16.3	-2.41	16.0	15.3	0.73
Rodney Stuckey	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	9	-6	14.9	15.1	-0.13	15.8	15.4	0.38
CJ Miles	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-6	24	14.1	16.1	-2.03	16.7	14.4	2.27
Solomon Hill	69	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	7	-2	16.1	12.0	4.06	15.0	17.6	-2.64
Luis Scola	32	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	9	-6	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.6	15.2	1.37
David West	62	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	3	6	15.1	14.8	0.30	15.2	16.6	-1.37
George Hill	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	0	12	14.6	15.3	-0.69	15.6	15.7	-0.03
CJ Watson	55	54	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.25	-2	14	-16	14.8	15.2	-0.39	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Roy Hibbert	42	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	13	-14	16.3	13.9	2.41	15.3	16.0	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	95.1%
CHI 85, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MEM 96, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.8%