NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	96		Excitement	5.4 [693]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +18.9%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.6 [1180]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -23.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Carlos Navarro	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.04	0.06	9	91%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	21	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.06	0.05	13	35%	-0.17	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.04	0.04	10	77%	0.19	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	15	62%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.03	17	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.02	-0.01	9	10%	-0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	9	22%	-0.09	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	28.1	14.8	30.0	1.8	37.3	139.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.0%

BOS +13.2%

MEM -0.2%

BOS +6.1%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.4	103.2	106.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.6		103.3	108.0
opponent	15.9	14.9		98.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	16.8	16.8	12.1	15.5
BOS	15.6	15.1	14.5	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-11	18	14.6	15.9	-1.29	15.9	15.0	0.93
Stromile Swift	16	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-3	2	18.4	14.9	3.52	15.4	15.3	0.02
Juan Carlos Navarro	34	36	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-9	14	13.0	16.9	-3.88	16.2	14.8	1.34
Mike Conley	72	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-9	14	15.6	15.1	0.47	14.4	18.0	-3.63
Rudy Gay	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-4	4	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.1	16.4	-1.35
Kyle Lowry	21	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	5	-14	15.1	15.6	-0.47	18.0	14.4	3.63
Pau Gasol	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	1	-6	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.7	19.1	-4.38
Mike Miller	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	1	-6	15.5	14.9	0.63	15.4	14.8	0.59
Darko Milicic	50	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	13	-30	16.6	14.2	2.42	15.7	15.0	0.70

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	14.1	18.4	-4.30	15.5	15.3	0.18
Rajon Rondo	58	57	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-3	10	13.5	18.4	-4.90	15.7	15.0	0.71
Ray Allen	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	-1	6	14.9	16.6	-1.72	15.9	14.4	1.51
James Posey	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	1	2	15.3	15.4	-0.04	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Paul Pierce	76	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	8	-12	15.4	15.2	0.15	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Tony Allen	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	-1	6	15.9	14.7	1.24	15.1	15.9	-0.87
Kendrick Perkins	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	1	2	16.0	14.8	1.13	16.6	14.4	2.19
Eddie House	33	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	7	-10	17.7	14.1	3.58	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Glen Davis	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	5	-6	19.6	14.0	5.61	14.0	15.9	-1.95
Scot Pollard	6	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.54	19.0	15.2	3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	95.0%
NOP 84, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.8%
POR 107, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%