NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	9.2 [118]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): +39.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	2.9 [517]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -54.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.4,0.4	0.14	0.25	-0.00	15	74%	0.47	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.10
Anthony Morrow	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	5	58%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	43%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0	0.09	-0.04	0.05	22	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	13	100%	0.06
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.15	-0.04	9	39%	-0.13	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.01	10	82%	0.26	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	7	75%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	8	62%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	8	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.2,-0.55	-0.55	-0.17	-0.37	0.01	15	26%	-0.50	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.3	30.5	16.7	27.8	0.8	34.5	137.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -4.3%

OKC +31.1%

OKC +11.8%

OKC +3.2%

OKC +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.1	110.6	109.6	104.2
season	14.5	15.5		105.7	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.0	13.6	15.5	14.5	14.9
LAL	16.7	16.4	16.5	13.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	69	70	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.63	11	-10	21	14.4	16.1	-1.66	16.9	12.4	4.51
Reggie Jackson	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-11	23	14.4	16.3	-1.91	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Serge Ibaka	77	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.62	-1	2	-3	14.6	16.1	-1.46	16.4	13.2	3.28
Russell Westbrook	70	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	2	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.80	17.0	12.5	4.53
Perry Jones	24	22	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.50	-11	12	-23	15.6	14.6	1.02	17.0	15.4	1.60
Steven Adams	68	69	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	3	-5	15.0	14.4	0.61	16.0	15.2	0.73
Nick Collison	42	44	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	-4	9	15.4	14.4	1.02	14.3	17.0	-2.70
Jeremy Lamb	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	15.4	14.8	0.60	12.1	16.6	-4.47
Anthony Morrow	32	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	7	-13	16.0	14.3	1.73	12.6	17.5	-4.84

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	31	31	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-7	13	12.1	17.6	-5.54	16.0	14.3	1.70
Wesley Johnson	51	53	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-11	21	16.9	14.5	2.37	15.3	14.3	1.05
Jordan Hill	39	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	0	-1	17.5	14.6	2.92	14.8	14.9	-0.19
Ronnie Price	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	4	-9	18.1	13.4	4.70	15.0	14.8	0.19
Nick Young	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	6	-13	13.8	16.7	-2.92	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Jeremy Lin	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-5	9	13.4	18.1	-4.70	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Ed Davis	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	4	-9	17.7	12.4	5.32	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Wayne Ellington	43	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-2	3	13.5	17.7	-4.17	14.7	15.0	-0.39
Carlos Boozer	58	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	1	-3	14.6	17.6	-3.02	14.8	15.0	-0.27
Kobe Bryant	65	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.54	-6	5	-11	17.3	12.3	5.01	14.4	15.9	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.47,0.43,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.26,0	90.8%
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	90.6%
MIN 111, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.17,0.27,0.53,0.29,0.54,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.37,0	90.5%