NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	6.4 [538]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +22.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	114		Comeback	2.3 [602]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -25.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.02	0.02	18	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	6	108%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.02	9	90%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	16	53%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	17	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	11	9%	-0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.04	0.06	14	73%	0.20	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	13	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	7	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	58%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nick Calathes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	18	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	28.3	16.5	27.4	2.4	28.2	130.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +10.8%

MEM +12.5%

DAL -5.3%

MEM +33.4%

DAL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.1	115.4	123.9	104.2
season	14.6	15.9		107.6	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	16.0	15.1	17.4	15.8
MEM	15.7	13.5	15.5	18.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	45	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-9	9	16.4	15.2	1.16	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Greg Smith	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	11.0	15.9	-4.87	21.0	15.6	5.40
Charlie Villanueva	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	13.5	15.9	-2.37	10.5	15.8	-5.28
Jameer Nelson	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	15.4	16.2	-0.85	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Devin Harris	47	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	16.6	15.0	1.66	15.7	15.6	0.18
Tyson Chandler	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-10	11	16.0	15.5	0.45	15.8	15.4	0.46
Monta Ellis	49	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	15.4	16.3	-0.83	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Chandler Parsons	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.2	-0.58	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Brandan Wright	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	14.8	16.7	-1.95	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Jose Juan Barea	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	16.2	15.5	0.64	16.9	14.9	2.01
Dirk Nowitzki	60	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	6	-21	16.1	15.3	0.74	15.8	15.4	0.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	55	53	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-3	15	16.2	14.8	1.38	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Zach Randolph	63	61	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.16	14	-5	19	15.6	15.8	-0.14	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Tony Allen	63	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-4	17	14.7	17.7	-3.01	14.7	18.2	-3.56
Mike Conley	65	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-5	19	15.4	16.3	-0.90	15.3	17.0	-1.77
Marc Gasol	71	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-4	17	16.1	14.2	1.85	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Jon Leuer	37	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	11	-13	15.7	15.6	0.11	16.7	15.2	1.54
Vince Carter	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	11	-13	15.6	15.7	-0.03	17.7	15.0	2.75
Nick Calathes	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	21.0	15.6	5.40	11.0	15.9	-4.87
Courtney Lee	37	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	13	-17	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Kosta Koufos	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	13	-17	12.7	16.1	-3.35	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Beno Udrih	28	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	15	-21	17.2	15.0	2.28	17.9	14.8	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	92.6%
IND 95, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.77,0.85,1	92.4%
ATL 92, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	92.3%