inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 132 Excitement11.1 [41] MVPPaul Pierce (WAS): +57.0%
Washington Wizards 133 Comeback79.7 [29] LVPJeff Green (BOS): -40.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Turner0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.290.080.19-0.031369%0.402-0.1100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.090.001263%0.191-0.036100%0.08
Marcus Smart0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.13,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.070.17-0.040.071470%0.0700.005100%0.02
Tyler Zeller0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.00-0.02762%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Avery Bradley-0.050,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.020.00939%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02542%-0.013-0.06250%-0.01
Marcus Thornton-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00525%-0.071-0.02250%-0.00
Brandon Bass-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.03-0.100.041653%0.001-0.12475%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.0030%-0.053-0.0800%0.00
Jeff Green-0.400,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.40.08-0.400.081860%-0.174-0.2311100%0.08

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.570.570.270.350.051293%0.581-0.016100%0.03
Marcin Gortat0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.011264%0.142-0.049100%0.07
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.015100%0.121-0.031100%0.01
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.33,-0.28,0.040.04-0.040.07-0.011762%0.329-0.28862%-0.03
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02458%0.041-0.00475%0.01
Garrett Temple00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.021250%0.033-0.04475%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.04714%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.01750%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.03-0.20-0.001650%-0.133-0.11250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game21.52.428.014.826.62.239.72.318.62.320.4178.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.82.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +56.0%
WAS +8.3%
BOS -17.2%
WAS +9.3%
BOS -6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game13.915.015.1110.0109.9104.2
season14.315.1103.1102.9
opponent15.315.4101.7103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS15.514.012.113.115.213.9
WAS13.915.414.616.314.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk87890.76-1.262.020.1720-214113.315.5-2.2915.114.60.50
Marcus Thornton37410.26-0.761.02-0.1213-142713.714.0-0.2617.113.93.15
Brandon Bass6665-0.07-0.430.35-0.4814-152913.414.5-1.1515.114.80.28
Evan Turner8284-0.08-0.420.33-0.5817-183513.215.3-2.1015.214.60.57
Marcus Smart7173-0.21-0.290.08-0.5913-142713.814.0-0.1615.614.11.44
Rajon Rondo4544-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-1514-2914.313.60.6814.015.6-1.59
Tyler Zeller4443-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-2019-3915.213.12.0515.414.80.66
Jared Sullinger3636-0.520.02-0.55-0.17-1211-2315.113.41.6714.915.0-0.07
Jeff Green8382-0.620.12-0.75-0.39-87-1514.213.11.1614.017.0-2.93
Avery Bradley4948-1.220.72-1.93-0.42-2726-5314.013.80.2313.815.8-1.95

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler54501.08-0.581.671.032-1314.915.1-0.2212.714.7-2.03
Kris Humphries91920.500.000.500.2110-91914.217.5-3.3813.913.9-0.06
John Wall93930.460.040.420.286-51114.317.3-2.9813.913.9-0.01
Bradley Beal87860.440.060.380.4401-114.615.9-1.2813.315.4-2.17
Paul Pierce80820.400.100.300.178-71514.416.1-1.6714.113.40.75
Andre Miller28270.040.46-0.420.19-56-1117.314.32.9813.913.90.01
Otto Porter24230.030.47-0.440.06-12-317.014.52.5615.413.51.92
Drew Gooden30280.000.50-0.500.26-910-1917.514.23.3813.913.90.06
Kevin Seraphin3333-0.100.60-0.700.10-78-1516.914.32.6412.914.3-1.34
Marcin Gortat7576-0.400.90-1.30-0.4310114.815.2-0.4014.612.62.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.92,0.9,0.69,0.54,0.55,0.85,0.5,0.25,0.21,0.03,0.04,0.5,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.08,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 116, DAL 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.02,184.6%
CLE 102, UTA 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,083.5%
MEM 128, GSW 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,083.4%