NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	5.6 [685]		MVP	Tyler Zeller (BOS): +14.5%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	1.0 [547]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -27.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.05	0.10	17	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.03	-0.09	0.06	-0.06	13	50%	0.13	6	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Nene	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	12	28%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.1	0.07	-0.16	0.01	10	73%	0.02	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.02	18	28%	-0.10	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	6	50%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	4	42%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	21	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.19	-0.06	17	34%	-0.13	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	33.3	15.5	28.5	1.8	36.1	140.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.2%

BOS +18.6%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +1.2%

BOS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	13.4	15.1	88.6	97.1	104.2
season	15.1	14.3		102.9	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.3	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	13.7	15.1	13.2	14.2
BOS	13.5	14.0	14.3	12.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	37	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-18	28	14.4	14.0	0.43	12.6	13.8	-1.25
Otto Porter	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-13	18	13.6	14.4	-0.73	12.2	13.9	-1.66
Kevin Seraphin	21	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-4	0	13.9	14.2	-0.31	13.9	13.3	0.58
Rasual Butler	67	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.40	8	-16	24	14.2	14.0	0.24	12.9	14.2	-1.33
Andre Miller	12	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	0	-8	16.2	13.9	2.27	15.0	13.2	1.82
John Wall	93	91	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-8	8	13.9	16.2	-2.27	13.2	15.0	-1.82
Marcin Gortat	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	6	-20	14.7	13.5	1.21	13.9	12.8	1.12
Paul Pierce	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	13.7	15.0	-1.33	13.3	13.6	-0.27
Bradley Beal	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	5	-18	14.4	13.6	0.73	13.9	12.2	1.66
Kris Humphries	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	8	-24	14.0	14.4	-0.43	13.8	12.6	1.25

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.15	24	-16	40	13.5	13.1	0.46	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Rajon Rondo	75	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	13.1	14.1	-0.97	14.2	14.1	0.01
Jeff Green	73	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	13.7	12.8	0.90	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Tyler Zeller	57	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	0	8	14.3	12.3	1.98	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Jared Sullinger	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-4	16	14.3	12.0	2.32	14.2	14.1	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	35	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	5	-2	12.9	13.7	-0.82	15.1	13.7	1.44
Marcus Thornton	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.20	-3	11	-14	13.6	13.3	0.30	14.4	14.0	0.43
Brandon Bass	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	13	-18	11.5	14.4	-2.89	14.5	13.9	0.60
Evan Turner	55	56	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.48	-14	22	-36	12.7	14.2	-1.59	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Marcus Smart	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	13.7	13.4	0.34	14.3	14.1	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.8,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, MIL 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.67,0.58,1	94.6%
ORL 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.74,1	93.5%
NJN 85, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	93.4%