NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	107		Excitement	4.5 [915]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): +14.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.0 [668]		LVP	Vince Carter (MEM): -10.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	76%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.19	-0.00	0.04	11	91%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.02	0.06	15	59%	0.07	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	0.07	20	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.5	16.4	24.5	1.7	36.3	133.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.6%

MEM -10.2%

SAS +13.6%

MEM -5.7%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.1	110.3	108.6	104.2
season	15.4	15.9		106.9	103.8
opponent	15.2	14.9		100.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.7	15.7	18.5	16.2	15.6
MEM	14.5	16.3	14.9	13.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	44	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	-2	10	16.2	15.2	1.03	16.2	13.2	3.03
Cory Joseph	44	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	1	4	15.7	15.6	0.16	15.8	13.7	2.11
Tim Duncan	75	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-1	8	15.9	14.6	1.30	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Manu Ginobili	54	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	9	-12	16.3	14.8	1.44	15.3	13.9	1.39
Marco Belinelli	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	2	2	17.2	15.0	2.26	15.6	14.3	1.31
Kawhi Leonard	69	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	9	-12	15.1	17.0	-1.91	13.5	17.3	-3.86
Danny Green	56	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	4	-2	15.4	16.0	-0.67	14.2	15.2	-0.92
Tony Parker	49	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	1	4	15.0	16.3	-1.37	14.0	15.3	-1.37
Matt Bonner	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	0	6	15.2	16.0	-0.88	13.6	15.6	-2.04
Aron Baynes	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	14.6	15.9	-1.30	15.0	14.6	0.40

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	16.0	14.6	1.36	11.0	15.7	-4.74
Kosta Koufos	17	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-1	-4	14.0	14.8	-0.80	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Tony Allen	36	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-5	4	12.8	15.8	-2.97	16.1	15.4	0.72
Mike Conley	76	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-7	8	14.1	17.4	-3.30	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Vince Carter	31	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	14.4	14.8	-0.35	15.3	15.8	-0.44
Beno Udrih	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-1	-4	15.3	14.2	1.11	16.5	15.2	1.32
Zach Randolph	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	4	-14	15.0	14.1	0.96	15.3	16.2	-0.98
Tayshaun Prince	61	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-8	10	15.3	13.4	1.95	15.8	15.2	0.60
Marc Gasol	76	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.0	0.80	15.8	14.9	0.84
Courtney Lee	73	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	15.1	13.1	1.98	15.7	15.3	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.5%
ORL 78, DAL 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CLE 89, ATL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%