NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	5.4 [738]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +57.7%
Charlotte Hornets	103		Comeback	3.9 [376]		LVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): -13.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.44	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.11,0.44	0.17	0.33	0.07	22	62%	0.44	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Travis Wear	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.58	0.58	-0.07	0.62	-0.03	15	33%	0.60	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.01	0.06	10	88%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.11	-0.04	21	38%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.5	15.3	28.3	2.7	29.3	132.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +33.1%

CHA +3.5%

CHA +11.2%

NYK -2.1%

CHA +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.7	15.1	114.6	115.7	104.2
season	16.1	15.6		98.5	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	15.8	16.9	14.1	15.6
CHA	14.8	16.2	16.6	19.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.7	16.9	-2.16
Pablo Prigioni	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-2	3	15.3	15.7	-0.37	17.4	16.6	0.80
Tim Hardaway Jr.	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.52	15	-16	31	14.7	16.2	-1.51	17.7	16.1	1.55
Cole Aldrich	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	4	-9	19.4	15.4	3.98	15.5	16.8	-1.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.61	17	-18	35	15.1	16.3	-1.23	17.4	15.8	1.58
Shane Larkin	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	4	-9	14.9	15.8	-0.94	14.3	17.3	-2.99
Quincy Acy	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	5	-11	16.1	15.5	0.66	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Jason Smith	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	5	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.05	15.1	17.2	-2.12
Iman Shumpert	33	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	6	-13	16.1	15.4	0.67	16.1	17.1	-0.93
J.R. Smith	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.49	6	-7	13	15.4	16.1	-0.67	17.1	16.1	0.93
Samuel Dalembert	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	12	-25	16.5	15.0	1.52	16.3	17.1	-0.82
Jose Calderon	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	13	-27	16.8	14.5	2.37	16.5	17.0	-0.52
Carmelo Anthony	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	0	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.13	17.1	14.8	2.28

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-6	13	16.5	17.7	-1.26	15.8	14.9	0.94
Gerald Henderson	57	56	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-3	7	16.4	17.3	-0.93	15.9	15.2	0.63
Al Jefferson	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	-3	7	16.7	16.8	-0.10	16.2	14.4	1.82
Marvin Williams	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.50	-6	7	-13	16.5	17.2	-0.68	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Lance Stephenson	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	4	-7	17.4	14.4	2.99	15.7	15.5	0.21
Cody Zeller	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-6	13	17.2	16.5	0.68	16.4	15.2	1.20
PJ Hairston	10	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	-6	13	16.1	16.8	-0.70	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Gary Neal	42	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	7	-13	16.2	17.2	-0.96	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Bismack Biyombo	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	4	-7	16.8	16.7	0.10	14.4	16.2	-1.82
Brian Roberts	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	7	-13	17.7	16.5	1.26	14.9	15.8	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 56, SEA 71	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
IND 96, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 95, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%