NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	3.5 [669]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +10.5%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.1 [781]		LVP	Gary Trent (DAL): -9.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	19	66%	0.10	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	56%	-0.01	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Robert Pack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	9	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	20	61%	0.12	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	70%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	71%	0.05	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	43%	-0.02	3	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.00	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	37.4	15.7	25.0	1.8	38.0	141.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.5%

UTA +11.8%

DAL -6.2%

UTA +8.3%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	15.8	100.0	110.4	99.6
season	15.9	16.4		99.7	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.6		96.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	18.5	18.0	12.1	15.9
UTA	14.7	13.6	14.1	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-19	27	9.4	17.2	-7.77	14.8	14.2	0.60
Dirk Nowitzki	50	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-20	29	14.8	17.1	-2.23	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Hubert Davis	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-19	27	13.3	17.3	-3.92	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Erick Strickland	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-13	15	16.5	15.7	0.79	12.1	14.8	-2.70
Steve Nash	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-6	1	17.5	15.1	2.47	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Samaki Walker	35	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-9	7	18.2	14.5	3.70	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Robert Pack	33	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	4	-19	17.1	15.3	1.79	14.6	14.1	0.56
Michael Finley	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	1	-13	15.6	16.7	-1.08	14.9	12.0	2.89
Gary Trent	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	7	-25	17.6	12.4	5.25	13.9	15.0	-1.11
A.C. Green	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	6	-23	16.9	14.8	2.04	14.7	13.8	0.98
Shawn Bradley	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	2	-15	14.7	19.2	-4.54	14.3	14.1	0.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-4	19	13.8	17.1	-3.36	15.5	18.3	-2.80
Jeff Hornacek	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-5	21	13.7	15.3	-1.57	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Bryon Russell	89	89	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	14.7	9.0	5.69	15.7	18.3	-2.60
Greg Ostertag	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	4	3	14.8	13.6	1.20	16.2	15.5	0.73
John Stockton	64	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	9	-7	13.1	16.7	-3.58	15.6	16.4	-0.76
Thurl Bailey	46	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	6	-1	13.9	14.6	-0.69	15.9	15.9	0.07
Howard Eisley	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.07	9	2	7	16.7	13.1	3.58	16.4	15.6	0.76
Adam Keefe	28	27	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	12	-13	14.6	14.1	0.53	16.8	15.5	1.29
Shandon Anderson	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	14	-17	15.5	13.9	1.54	18.1	15.3	2.79
Todd Fuller	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	12	-13	4.0	14.4	-10.38	0.0	15.9	-15.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
WAS 87, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIL 79, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%