inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 96 Excitement4.3 [974] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +10.7%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback1.2 [1145] LVPJarrett Jack (IND): -11.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.001152%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Stephen Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.022456%0.104-0.1000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02650%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Roy Hibbert-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.011142%0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Marquis Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.020.061566%0.043-0.062100%0.01
Jeff Foster-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02337%0.012-0.04250%-0.00
Brandon Rush-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.00450%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
T.J. Ford-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.01930%-0.061-0.022100%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.02825%-0.063-0.0500%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.130.020.041568%0.163-0.051759%-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.011658%0.123-0.05683%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.021076%0.123-0.061100%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01657%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.04425%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.08-0.000.091862%0.043-0.053100%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03444%0.013-0.031100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.427.515.627.02.329.6131.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +33.7%
ORL +8.4%
IND -3.0%
ORL +7.7%
ORL +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game13.615.115.596.0108.9106.4
season14.115.3106.5107.3
opponent15.815.3101.4107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.013.214.812.213.6
ORL14.315.013.417.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Graham230.00-0.500.500.000-141411.013.6-2.6318.315.03.36
Josh McRoberts230.00-0.500.500.000-141411.013.6-2.6318.315.03.36
Jarrett Jack4949-0.10-0.400.31-0.152-161813.713.50.1415.514.70.86
Marquis Daniels6968-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-161813.513.8-0.3715.514.21.23
Roy Hibbert3435-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-8213.413.7-0.2515.115.00.11
Jeff Foster3635-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-10613.413.7-0.2616.114.51.56
Rasho Nesterovic3132-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-140-1415.012.92.1013.715.7-2.07
Brandon Rush6968-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.14-8-6-213.314.2-0.8414.915.4-0.44
Troy Murphy6667-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-1-1213.813.10.7513.917.3-3.35
Danny Granger7778-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.14-10-4-613.513.9-0.4315.314.30.99
T.J. Ford6567-0.46-0.04-0.420.10-195-2413.413.9-0.4315.214.90.28

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Johnson79780.470.030.44-0.1220-62615.214.70.5013.713.00.74
Rashard Lewis82820.420.080.350.071221015.314.11.2513.613.30.30
JJ Redick65630.400.100.300.1495414.615.9-1.3213.813.20.53
Dwight Howard88860.390.110.28-0.0816-21815.015.2-0.1914.011.03.00
Hedo Turkoglu82810.350.150.210.1868-215.214.60.6013.414.4-0.97
Tony Battie40390.300.200.100.0686214.115.7-1.5613.413.7-0.28
Courtney Lee58590.130.37-0.240.16-115-1615.414.60.8913.214.2-1.04
Brian Cook11120.040.46-0.430.04014-1416.114.91.1512.013.8-1.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 93, SEA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1,196.6%
PHX 91, PHI 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
UTA 56, SEA 710.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.0%