NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	123		Excitement	3.9 [1030]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +15.5%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.4 [866]		LVP	Ian Clark (UTA): -3.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.28	0.01	0.14	22	74%	0.20	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	6	108%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	13	63%	0.12	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	71%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	13	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	15	59%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	23.6	14.8	24.9	1.7	26.5	120.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.2%

TOR +10.2%

TOR +5.6%

UTA -2.8%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.1	141.4	119.5	104.2
season	15.6	16.2		109.1	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	15.3	15.8	19.2	16.1
UTA	16.1	16.0	18.5	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	55	52	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.26	29	-10	39	16.2	16.0	0.13	18.2	15.2	3.04
Greivis Vasquez	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	0	19	15.5	17.1	-1.60	17.3	16.4	0.88
Lou Williams	48	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	9	1	16.4	15.7	0.67	16.6	17.4	-0.85
James Johnson	34	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	4	11	15.5	16.5	-1.06	18.5	16.1	2.39
Terrence Ross	55	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	14	-9	16.3	15.8	0.43	16.2	18.6	-2.45
Tyler Hansbrough	11	11	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	9	1	14.6	16.3	-1.69	16.4	17.1	-0.72
Kyle Lowry	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	11	-3	16.6	14.4	2.18	17.0	17.0	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	23	-27	16.7	14.8	1.89	16.4	18.3	-1.94
Amir Johnson	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	16	-13	15.7	16.7	-1.00	16.6	17.6	-1.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	9	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-16	13	18.2	16.8	1.38	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Derrick Favors	62	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-16	13	16.6	18.0	-1.42	15.5	17.4	-1.82
Rodney Hood	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-10	1	16.4	17.6	-1.22	17.6	14.3	3.31
Enes Kanter	64	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-11	3	16.5	18.4	-1.97	15.2	18.4	-3.26
Rudy Gobert	19	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-10	1	18.2	16.7	1.50	19.1	15.2	3.99
Dante Exum	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-11	3	18.1	16.6	1.48	19.7	14.8	4.93
Trey Burke	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-8	-3	16.6	18.1	-1.48	14.8	19.7	-4.93
Gordon Hayward	77	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-6	-7	17.2	15.6	1.57	15.6	19.5	-3.93
Joe Ingles	43	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-6	-7	17.2	16.7	0.48	16.2	16.0	0.23
Trevor Booker	27	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	-1	-17	18.0	16.5	1.47	16.2	16.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, MEM 73	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 114, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHI 97, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0	95.5%