NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	3.8 [1016]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +9.9%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.0 [211]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): -11.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.01	-0.06	15	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	7	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.02	10	90%	0.13	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	80%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	11	61%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	302.5	1.8	30.0	15.4	24.4	1.7	29.2	405.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.6%

PHI +9.9%

PHI +6.5%

UTA -0.4%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.8	15.7	15.5	112.8	105.8	100.9
season	15.7	16.0		101.4	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.5	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	16.0	19.4	19.4	17.8
UTA	16.2	16.7	15.9	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	18.2	15.9	2.31	15.7	15.6	0.11
Theo Ratliff	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	3	0	19.0	14.8	4.22	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Toni Kukoc	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-2	10	15.8	20.9	-5.06	16.4	14.5	1.87
Tyrone Hill	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	18.2	17.0	1.25	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Aaron McKie	68	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	10	-14	18.6	14.8	3.81	15.5	16.6	-1.11
Rodney Buford	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-7	20	13.8	19.5	-5.76	16.8	15.2	1.54
Todd MacCulloch	18	20	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	2	2	15.0	18.5	-3.53	17.1	15.3	1.89
Jumaine Jones	23	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	1	4	17.6	17.9	-0.25	16.3	15.5	0.83
George Lynch	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.40	-8	14	-22	19.2	15.3	3.91	14.3	18.1	-3.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	20	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	17.3	15.2	2.15	13.5	18.9	-5.43
David Benoit	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	17.6	15.5	2.04	16.8	17.9	-1.03
John Stockton	58	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-13	20	15.0	17.1	-2.14	19.5	14.3	5.20
Bryon Russell	67	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-13	20	15.6	16.1	-0.46	18.9	13.8	5.08
Danny Manning	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-9	12	15.3	16.0	-0.67	18.0	17.7	0.35
DeShawn Stevenson	6	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	4	-14	16.8	15.6	1.22	15.7	18.0	-2.26
Olden Polynice	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	0	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.12	19.7	16.2	3.49
John Starks	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	1	-8	16.1	15.2	0.87	17.2	18.4	-1.15
Jacque Vaughn	28	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	7	-20	17.1	15.0	2.14	14.3	19.5	-5.20
Karl Malone	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.3	18.0	-2.71	18.0	16.2	1.84
Donyell Marshall	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-5	4	15.4	16.3	-0.93	16.9	19.3	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 83, MEM 73	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIN 105, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%