inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement2.9 [1198] MVPJohn Wall (WAS): +10.9%
Washington Wizards 107 Comeback1.1 [988] LVPPaul Pierce (WAS): -3.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh McRoberts0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.03462%0.0200.00580%-0.01
Norris Cole0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04837%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Justin Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
James Ennis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03233%0.001-0.002100%0.01
Chris Bosh-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.051464%0.054-0.05540%-0.03
Dwyane Wade-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.000.081365%0.032-0.04540%-0.03
Shawne Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.01743%-0.011-0.02771%-0.01
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.021142%-0.012-0.03475%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.01-0.011072%0.132-0.03580%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.00683%0.0900.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00968%0.081-0.01475%-0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.071470%0.082-0.02580%-0.01
Otto Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.03470%0.0510.002100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.033100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01750%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Garrett Temple00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.00757%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01450%-0.001-0.00450%-0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01440%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.529.815.826.62.428.5129.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +31.5%
WAS +8.4%
WAS +11.0%
MIA -0.2%
MIA -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game16.215.815.195.6118.9104.2
season16.015.1102.4102.9
opponent15.315.3101.7105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.516.416.715.316.2
WAS14.115.616.816.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Hamilton990.00-0.500.500.03-1-201914.316.4-2.1017.915.52.35
Hassan Whiteside540.00-0.500.500.000-212113.016.4-3.4117.515.71.80
Udonis Haslem2121-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-14717.915.72.1916.615.51.04
Josh McRoberts4444-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-12316.516.00.5016.015.60.35
Luol Deng4746-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-161116.316.10.2514.317.3-3.01
Norris Cole4746-0.23-0.270.03-0.03-7-14716.316.10.2514.317.3-3.01
James Ennis2625-0.25-0.25-0.010.16-14-7-717.215.81.3617.415.12.30
Dwyane Wade5253-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-12315.617.1-1.4415.516.1-0.61
Shabazz Napier4344-0.27-0.23-0.030.14-14-7-716.116.3-0.2517.314.33.01
Mario Chalmers5556-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-7-716.216.20.0416.514.61.86
Shawne Williams3738-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-8-516.316.20.1714.816.5-1.62
Chris Bosh6464-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.00-12-9-316.016.9-0.9315.516.3-0.80

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler61590.420.080.34-0.2322-12315.915.60.2816.515.60.93
John Wall60600.350.150.200.031110115.316.8-1.5316.316.00.38
Marcin Gortat52520.350.150.20-0.03138515.216.6-1.3916.715.61.11
Otto Porter43420.280.220.07-0.13147717.314.42.9615.916.5-0.68
Drew Gooden37360.250.250.00-0.10129316.815.11.6617.015.71.25
Kris Humphries46480.240.26-0.030.06615-914.816.8-1.9515.816.7-0.83
Paul Pierce39400.210.29-0.090.00714-714.516.8-2.3216.116.3-0.22
Kevin Seraphin36350.160.34-0.18-0.131011-116.315.40.8815.816.5-0.74
Andre Miller30300.150.35-0.20-0.141011-116.815.31.5316.016.3-0.38
Bradley Beal31320.110.39-0.280.05219-1715.515.9-0.4516.915.81.11
DeJuan Blair990.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1917.915.52.3514.316.4-2.10
Garrett Temple67-0.020.52-0.540.07-324-2713.815.9-2.0813.116.5-3.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 93, POR 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
PHI 78, BOS 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CLE 89, WAS 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,196.8%