NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	3.3 [1079]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +4.8%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.1 [779]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -13.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	91%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	68%	-0.00	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Chucky Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	0.00	-0.06	17	32%	-0.07	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	20	55%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	10	54%	0.02	5	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	56%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	4	50%	0.01	5	-0.08	8	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.5	15.8	27.2	1.8	34.2	133.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +32.1%

WAS +7.0%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +5.8%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	92.7	96.9	100.9
season	15.3	15.2		98.4	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	14.0	17.3	13.7	14.9
WAS	15.0	13.1	14.8	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-1	-4	10.4	15.3	-4.86	9.1	15.2	-6.04
Trajan Langdon	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.36	9	-15	24	14.3	15.3	-1.01	15.6	14.3	1.23
Chris Gatling	43	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-14	22	14.5	15.3	-0.86	15.0	14.6	0.36
Bimbo Coles	24	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	0	-6	16.2	14.5	1.69	15.2	14.6	0.60
Cedric Henderson	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-9	12	14.6	15.3	-0.71	15.4	14.2	1.24
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.1	1.57	15.7	13.6	2.14
Chris Mihm	32	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	3	-12	15.1	14.9	0.19	13.4	15.5	-2.10
Robert Traylor	57	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-7	8	15.1	14.7	0.46	15.2	14.1	1.06
Lamond Murray	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	3	-12	15.3	14.6	0.71	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Andre Miller	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-6	6	14.5	16.2	-1.69	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Jim Jackson	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	9	-24	15.3	14.3	1.01	14.3	15.6	-1.23

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	56	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-3	12	13.9	15.9	-2.05	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Richard Hamilton	58	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-1	8	14.0	15.8	-1.85	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Juwan Howard	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	3	0	14.3	16.3	-1.97	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Tyrone Nesby	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	4	-2	15.4	14.0	1.45	15.9	13.8	2.09
Michael Smith	42	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	-4	14	14.1	15.2	-1.15	15.2	14.7	0.49
Jahidi White	56	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.39	-6	12	-18	15.2	14.1	1.15	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Mitch Richmond	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	11	-16	15.2	14.2	1.04	14.9	15.0	-0.03
Calvin Booth	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	-2	10	14.2	15.0	-0.80	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Popeye Jones	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	1	4	16.3	14.3	1.97	15.3	14.8	0.48
Rod Strickland	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	9	-12	15.9	13.9	2.05	15.0	14.8	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHH 66, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%