NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	66		Excitement	2.7 [1182]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +4.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.2 [1156]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -17.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	19	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Haston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.24	-0.00	-0.08	10	17%	-0.10	5	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	58%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	17	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	26.4	17.4	26.4	2.5	27.3	124.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.0%

LAL +1.5%

LAL +9.4%

LAL +11.8%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAL	NBA	CHH	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.6	70.2	111.5	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		102.2	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.4	17.7	15.5	13.9	16.1
LAL	15.3	12.3	15.2	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-32	23	11.3	17.1	-5.84	14.4	14.2	0.23
Bryce Drew	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.38	-13	-28	15	12.3	17.2	-4.82	13.8	14.4	-0.64
Jamaal Magloire	29	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.38	-16	-25	9	14.9	16.6	-1.70	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Kirk Haston	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.25	-12	-29	17	14.6	16.6	-2.01	13.9	14.4	-0.46
George Lynch	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.26	-14	-27	13	14.6	16.9	-2.22	14.1	14.3	-0.25
Stacey Augmon	28	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.36	-21	-20	-1	15.5	16.3	-0.87	11.7	15.3	-3.54
Jamal Mashburn	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.32	-23	-18	-5	17.1	13.7	3.45	15.4	11.8	3.53
P.J. Brown	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-25	9	16.6	15.4	1.17	14.9	13.5	1.35
David Wesley	80	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.69	-37	-4	-33	16.5	13.6	2.86	13.4	19.9	-6.55
Baron Davis	65	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.28	-23	-18	-5	16.9	14.3	2.55	14.9	12.6	2.33
Elden Campbell	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.20	-21	-20	-1	18.2	13.2	4.96	14.8	13.5	1.31

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	20	1	14.5	13.8	0.77	16.7	14.9	1.78
Shaquille O'Neal	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	25	-9	14.5	14.0	0.56	18.5	13.6	4.91
Robert Horry	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	30	-19	15.4	13.0	2.38	16.8	15.2	1.64
Lindsey Hunter	46	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	27	-13	15.2	13.4	1.88	16.4	15.8	0.67
Rick Fox	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	26	-11	15.7	13.1	2.58	17.5	15.0	2.46
Devean George	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.55	26	15	11	13.1	15.7	-2.58	15.0	17.5	-2.46
Derek Fisher	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.58	27	14	13	13.4	15.2	-1.88	15.8	16.4	-0.67
Slava Medvedenko	35	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.44	21	20	1	13.3	14.8	-1.58	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Mark Madsen	35	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.71	26	15	11	12.9	15.1	-2.21	13.5	17.5	-4.04
Jelani McCoy	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	33	-25	14.8	14.1	0.76	13.5	17.0	-3.51
Mitch Richmond	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.57	20	21	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.77	14.9	16.7	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CLE 89, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	97.1%
IND 109, POR 131	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%