NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	78		Excitement	3.0 [1168]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (GSW): +3.8%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.2 [1111]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -11.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	-0.11	6	25%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.03	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	13	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	11	29%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.3	16.5	29.6	2.4	26.6	126.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.2%

GSW +1.8%

GSW +7.0%

GSW +13.5%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.7	84.8	106.5	100.5
season	15.2	16.1		96.4	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.6	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	15.0	15.0	13.0	14.7
GSW	12.7	17.0	16.3	20.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	12.1	15.0	-2.86	21.8	15.8	6.02
Mitchell Butler	43	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-20	19	14.0	15.3	-1.31	17.3	15.6	1.66
Juan Dixon	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-14	7	12.8	15.7	-2.93	19.7	14.6	5.11
Jared Jeffries	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-12	3	14.7	14.7	-0.08	17.3	15.3	2.00
Jerry Stackhouse	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-12	3	15.1	14.3	0.78	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Etan Thomas	43	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-16	11	13.5	15.8	-2.27	17.7	15.1	2.59
Christian Laettner	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-12	3	15.0	14.5	0.52	14.5	17.7	-3.22
Brendan Haywood	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-11	1	15.4	14.3	1.18	16.1	16.6	-0.57
Kwame Brown	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	-5	-11	15.7	13.6	2.16	15.1	17.7	-2.59
Gilbert Arenas	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-1	-19	15.0	14.2	0.73	15.2	18.2	-3.06
Larry Hughes	64	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	-2	-17	15.5	13.0	2.49	15.6	18.3	-2.73

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.21	21	0	21	15.4	18.8	-3.38	15.9	12.1	3.79
Jason Richardson	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	2	17	15.9	18.6	-2.64	14.7	14.6	0.06
Mike Dunleavy	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	7	7	15.7	18.5	-2.79	15.0	13.7	1.28
Clifford Robinson	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.24	20	1	19	15.0	18.0	-3.04	15.4	13.9	1.51
Calbert Cheaney	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	10	1	17.7	15.7	2.06	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Avery Johnson	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	11	-1	18.0	15.4	2.65	14.1	15.1	-1.07
Mickael Pietrus	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	11	-1	15.7	17.7	-2.06	14.8	14.6	0.20
Troy Murphy	45	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	20	-19	18.0	15.0	3.04	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Adonal Foyle	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	23	-25	18.8	15.4	3.38	12.5	15.6	-3.10
J.R. Bremer	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	22.2	16.1	6.10	11.2	14.9	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 82, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
ORL 92, SAC 122	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHI 82, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%