NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	8.9 [145]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): +45.4%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	14.4 [42]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (LAL): -23.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.45	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.45	0.04	0.41	-0.00	6	53%	0.45	0	0.00	5	100%	0.09
Jordan Hill	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	55%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Nick Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Robert Sacre	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.19,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	28	44%	-0.07	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.03
Jeremy Lin	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	5	30%	-0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	15	36%	-0.13	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.08	-0.01	10	83%	0.28	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	13	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	75%	0.37	6	-0.32	10	80%	0.02
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	6	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	28.0	15.6	27.5	3.6	42.3	143.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -38.7%

LAL +33.1%

LAL +35.9%

LAL +22.3%

HOU -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.1	104.3	96.8	104.2
season	15.5	14.3		101.9	105.6
opponent	14.9	14.7		103.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.3	15.1	17.1	13.6	15.9
HOU	14.6	12.1	15.6	16.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	56	56	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-3	12	14.8	17.5	-2.71	15.3	13.6	1.71
Kobe Bryant	75	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-3	12	16.4	13.8	2.62	14.6	14.6	0.05
Jeremy Lin	60	60	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	1	4	15.8	16.0	-0.14	14.7	14.4	0.36
Jordan Hill	68	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	16.1	15.3	0.85	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Wesley Johnson	71	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Ronnie Price	33	31	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	4	-2	14.7	16.5	-1.87	14.7	14.5	0.21
Ed Davis	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	5	-4	17.1	15.2	1.93	15.7	14.0	1.68
Robert Sacre	14	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	10	-14	14.6	16.1	-1.54	12.4	15.1	-2.68
Carlos Boozer	59	59	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.15	-2	8	-10	16.5	14.9	1.54	14.3	15.1	-0.78

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	41	41	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.24	7	-13	20	13.8	15.2	-1.40	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Joey Dorsey	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-4	2	15.6	14.4	1.23	17.8	15.5	2.33
Francisco Garcia	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.4	0.88	15.7	15.9	-0.25
Tarik Black	70	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-17	28	14.0	16.4	-2.44	16.5	14.3	2.23
Trevor Ariza	83	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.1	18.2	-4.08	16.1	14.7	1.37
Kostas Papanikolaou	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	14.8	14.1	0.73	15.9	15.9	-0.06
Donatas Motiejunas	38	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	11	-28	14.6	14.6	0.01	14.4	16.9	-2.50
James Harden	74	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	1	-8	14.6	14.5	0.16	16.0	15.3	0.68
Patrick Beverley	67	67	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.49	-15	9	-24	15.7	12.0	3.64	15.7	16.4	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.71,0.94,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.74,0	92.0%
NYK 79, IND 75	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.42,0	91.9%
BOS 112, NJN 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.96,0	91.3%