NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	7.4 [326]		MVP	Glen Rice (NYK): +17.3%
Indiana Pacers	75		Comeback	17.6 [61]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -31.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.17	0.01	0.16	-0.00	13	50%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Latrell Sprewell	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	21	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Allan Houston	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	16	35%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	13	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.14	0.01	13	53%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.21
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.16	-0.01	15	58%	0.11	4	-0.28	6	100%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	13	30%	-0.28	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	33.4	16.4	24.8	2.7	36.4	139.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.4%

NYK +7.8%

IND -14.9%

NYK +22.6%

NYK +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	17.9	15.5	89.8	88.2	100.9
season	16.4	15.9		99.2	99.3
opponent	15.6	16.1		99.9	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	14.9	15.9	14.4	15.4
IND	15.4	18.7	19.1	18.5	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	52	52	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-1	6	15.9	14.7	1.25	16.8	19.6	-2.83
Latrell Sprewell	66	64	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-2	8	15.8	14.5	1.30	16.9	21.0	-4.11
Marcus Camby	81	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-3	10	15.2	18.0	-2.79	17.7	19.5	-1.76
Glen Rice	63	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	2	0	14.6	17.6	-2.97	17.8	18.0	-0.19
Kurt Thomas	47	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	4	-4	16.0	14.8	1.17	18.8	16.7	2.15
Allan Houston	63	62	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	1	2	16.2	13.5	2.73	19.0	14.9	4.10
Othella Harrington	32	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	6	-8	14.7	15.9	-1.22	16.8	18.5	-1.66
Charlie Ward	36	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.19	-1	5	-6	14.7	15.9	-1.25	19.6	16.8	2.83

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	21	21	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-6	8	18.7	17.6	1.07	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Jeff Foster	16	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-3	2	16.6	18.2	-1.65	13.3	16.0	-2.77
Austin Croshere	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	20.9	17.5	3.45	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Jonathan Bender	24	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	18.4	17.7	0.71	13.0	16.6	-3.62
Jermaine O'Neal	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	18.0	17.0	0.97	15.9	11.2	4.69
Travis Best	65	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	17.6	18.9	-1.30	15.9	13.8	2.03
Jalen Rose	85	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	17.9	0.0	17.91	15.4	20.0	-4.62
Al Harrington	60	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	2	-8	17.7	18.3	-0.53	16.5	13.3	3.16
Sam Perkins	64	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	2	-8	17.6	18.7	-1.07	15.7	14.6	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.58,0	92.4%
LAL 98, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.71,0.94,0.73,0	91.9%
MEM 90, NOP 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.68,0.58,0	91.3%