NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	8.2 [179]		MVP	Milt Palacio (BOS): +83.9%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	119.5 [9]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -9.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.84	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.84	0.02	0.82	0.00	1	150%	0.87	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	77%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.07
Paul Pierce	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	12	78%	0.31	6	-0.22	8	87%	0.05
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bryant Stith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	14	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1	0.07	-0.09	0.08	17	64%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.20	-0.01	15	69%	0.34	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	5	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	10	65%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	9	74%	0.05	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	15	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	27.9	15.5	26.5	2.4	38.5	141.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +61.5%

BOS +15.3%

NJN -9.7%

NJN -21.8%

BOS +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	16.4	15.5	115.5	119.4	100.9
season	15.1	15.5		99.7	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	13.2	15.5	12.1	14.0
NJN	14.4	18.1	14.5	19.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	33	32	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.76	3	-2	5	13.6	14.1	-0.53	17.7	15.7	2.00
Eric Williams	39	37	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.78	2	-1	3	13.4	14.3	-0.92	16.1	16.6	-0.59
Paul Pierce	62	59	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.53	9	-8	17	13.5	14.7	-1.18	17.7	14.2	3.43
Tony Battie	40	37	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.59	5	-4	9	13.2	14.5	-1.29	16.8	16.1	0.71
Bryant Stith	77	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	2	-3	14.1	13.3	0.83	15.7	19.2	-3.46
Vitaly Potapenko	51	51	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	3	-5	14.0	13.9	0.09	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Adrian Griffin	29	27	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	9	-17	14.6	13.7	0.85	14.4	17.2	-2.87
Antoine Walker	78	75	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.30	-1	2	-3	14.5	11.7	2.76	16.5	16.2	0.23
Kenny Anderson	64	61	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.29	-2	3	-5	14.1	13.6	0.53	15.7	17.7	-2.00

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	42	44	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-3	5	17.5	15.5	1.90	14.2	13.7	0.53
Evan Eschmeyer	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-1	1	22.0	15.9	6.12	11.2	14.2	-2.95
Stephen Jackson	61	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	0	-1	16.5	16.3	0.15	14.1	13.7	0.43
Vladimir Stepania	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	4	-9	18.1	15.4	2.69	13.1	14.5	-1.33
Aaron Williams	79	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-8	15	15.5	21.5	-5.99	14.4	11.1	3.37
Lucious Harris	55	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	15.3	18.0	-2.65	14.1	13.8	0.23
Stephon Marbury	77	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	15.5	20.9	-5.47	14.4	12.1	2.30
Kenyon Martin	63	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	3	-7	15.9	17.5	-1.61	14.1	13.6	0.56
Sherman Douglas	44	47	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.55	-9	8	-17	18.3	14.7	3.67	12.7	15.2	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.96,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.84,0	91.4%
LAL 98, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.71,0.94,0.73,0	91.3%
SAS 90, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.73,0	90.4%