NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	8.6 [177]		MVP	Luis Scola (IND): +30.3%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	6.4 [223]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -16.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	6	67%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	22	58%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Brian Roberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.06	-0.00	15	39%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.02	-0.07	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	12	36%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.11	0.20	0.00	9	68%	0.30	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.24	0.24	-0.08	0.32	-0.00	8	37%	0.36	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	50%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.05
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	45%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	13	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.02	14	53%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.3	15.6	22.4	2.4	31.6	126.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +20.6%

IND +29.3%

IND +21.4%

CHA -22.6%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	16.5	15.1	100.0	103.5	104.2
season	15.6	16.0		98.9	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	17.8	17.8	17.8	17.1
IND	15.3	15.7	15.6	20.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	25	24	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-10	18	16.8	17.3	-0.42	16.1	16.7	-0.64
Cody Zeller	37	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-9	16	16.9	17.3	-0.39	16.9	16.3	0.62
Brian Roberts	51	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-5	8	18.1	15.8	2.31	17.4	15.3	2.13
Jason Maxiell	23	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	18.3	16.7	1.65	17.2	16.3	0.93
Al Jefferson	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	6	-14	17.5	16.2	1.36	16.7	16.1	0.64
Gerald Henderson	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	4	-10	16.5	17.8	-1.35	15.8	17.3	-1.57
Kemba Walker	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.9	19.5	-2.60	16.4	17.9	-1.47
Marvin Williams	44	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.61	3	-5	8	15.4	19.0	-3.59	15.8	17.3	-1.57
Lance Stephenson	69	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	9	-20	17.7	14.8	2.96	16.6	16.2	0.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	67	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-13	28	16.3	17.5	-1.22	17.3	16.6	0.67
Luis Scola	53	56	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-13	28	15.0	19.1	-4.14	17.3	16.8	0.57
Rodney Stuckey	44	46	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.77	-4	6	-10	17.8	15.2	2.60	17.3	16.9	0.40
Donald Sloan	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-5	12	15.5	18.6	-3.08	16.8	17.9	-1.17
Ian Mahinmi	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	5	-8	18.4	15.5	2.82	17.3	17.1	0.26
Chris Copeland	50	51	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	7	-12	15.8	17.6	-1.80	16.4	18.2	-1.74
Roy Hibbert	55	56	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	-1	4	15.5	18.4	-2.82	17.4	16.7	0.62
Damjan Rudez	9	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	16.4	16.6	-0.11	17.2	17.1	0.12
A.J. Price	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	18.6	15.5	3.08	17.9	16.8	1.17
Lavoy Allen	32	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.20	-13	15	-28	19.1	15.0	4.14	16.8	17.3	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.37,0.24,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	90.1%
NJN 116, NYK 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.28,0.47,0.82,1	90.0%
PHI 92, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.35,0.73,1	88.6%