NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	116		Excitement	9.3 [91]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +18.2%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	7.1 [472]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): -21.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.22	-0.03	0.01	15	81%	0.26	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.01	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.08,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	19	50%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.09	0.02	19	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	3	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.2,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	23	59%	0.15	0	0.00	10	100%	0.10
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.20	-0.07	0.03	26	67%	0.27	2	-0.17	6	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	15	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	8	39%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.0	36.1	18.8	28.2	3.4	38.6	154.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.6%

NJN -16.2%

NYK +7.2%

NYK +32.3%

NJN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	13.5	15.5	117.2	120.0	105.7
season	16.4	14.3		101.6	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		108.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	16.5	17.9	14.1	15.4
NYK	14.0	11.8	14.8	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	32	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	15.7	15.3	0.36	13.2	13.6	-0.41
Sasha Vujacic	38	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	0	-4	15.5	15.4	0.09	12.5	14.1	-1.54
Jordan Farmar	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	14.9	15.8	-0.91	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Kris Humphries	90	91	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.3	16.4	-1.10	13.5	13.2	0.32
Deron Williams	75	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-6	8	15.9	13.9	2.02	13.4	13.9	-0.45
Travis Outlaw	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	1	-6	15.6	15.1	0.52	13.9	12.7	1.19
Brook Lopez	74	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Anthony Morrow	80	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.50	-6	2	-8	15.1	16.7	-1.53	14.0	11.3	2.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	86	84	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-10	24	13.4	14.4	-1.07	15.5	14.9	0.68
Chauncey Billups	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-10	24	13.2	14.6	-1.47	15.5	15.2	0.35
Toney Douglas	47	49	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.60	0	4	-4	14.8	12.3	2.49	14.3	16.6	-2.29
Shelden Williams	36	37	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	3	-2	13.5	13.5	0.03	14.5	16.0	-1.44
Jared Jeffries	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-3	10	12.9	14.1	-1.24	15.9	14.9	1.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	8	-12	13.7	13.1	0.60	15.2	15.9	-0.76
Shawne Williams	50	46	0.12	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	0	4	13.8	13.2	0.66	16.0	15.0	1.04
Anthony Carter	38	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	1	2	11.8	14.6	-2.82	16.9	14.6	2.23
Landry Fields	32	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	14.2	13.2	1.04	16.4	15.0	1.42
Henry Walker	21	21	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	17	-30	14.5	13.2	1.28	13.6	15.9	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.28,0.47,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.37,0.24,0.58,1	90.0%
MIL 91, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	90.0%
MIN 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1	89.8%