inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 136 Excitement2.6 [1228] MVPMarreese Speights (GSW): +13.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 115 Comeback1.1 [1145] LVPCarlos Boozer (LAL): -8.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.190.000.051180%0.1410.008100%0.02
Andrew Bogut0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.130.000.02979%0.1000.001100%0.00
Klay Thompson0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.011164%0.082-0.016100%0.02
Stephen Curry0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.160.000.081970%0.113-0.045100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.04867%0.0600.00580%-0.00
Andre Iguodala0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04677%0.0500.0010%0.00
Draymond Green0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.065100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04250%0.0020.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05437%0.0020.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06250%0.0030.00250%0.00
Brandon Rush-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.02440%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.02425%-0.042-0.02475%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Hill0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.02956%0.061-0.00978%-0.01
Ryan Kelly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.10-0.000.103452%0.022-0.021669%-0.02
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04180%-0.0010.00875%-0.00
Robert Sacre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.05862%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.031050%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05656%-0.0100.006100%0.01
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06325%-0.012-0.002100%0.00
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.041127%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.011323%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.33.336.715.325.62.431.2135.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +48.2%
GSW +8.1%
LAL -3.0%
LAL -4.1%
GSW +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game13.114.615.1129.5111.7104.2
season13.615.5109.2101.9
opponent14.715.5108.999.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.512.811.316.013.1
LAL15.813.915.413.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson67670.490.010.48-0.6238-175511.416.2-4.8314.814.20.58
Draymond Green54540.410.090.33-0.6135-144911.414.9-3.5715.613.52.12
Andrew Bogut48470.390.110.28-0.222102112.114.0-1.8814.714.50.15
Stephen Curry67650.320.180.13-0.4827-63312.015.0-2.9315.013.91.04
Harrison Barnes53530.280.220.07-0.16156912.613.7-1.0914.714.50.24
Andre Iguodala44420.210.29-0.08-0.23156913.912.51.3815.314.11.15
Shaun Livingston38380.180.32-0.130.36-627-3315.012.02.9313.915.0-1.04
Marreese Speights46450.170.33-0.17-0.27156912.613.5-0.9614.314.8-0.48
Brandon Rush14130.030.47-0.430.03021-2112.613.2-0.5312.614.9-2.27
Leandro Barbosa38360.010.49-0.480.51-1738-5516.211.44.8314.214.8-0.58
Festus Ezeli22210.000.50-0.500.38-1334-4716.712.14.5813.814.8-1.06
Ognjen Kuzmic16160.000.50-0.500.35-1233-4515.412.72.7513.614.8-1.16
Justin Holiday18180.000.50-0.500.38-1334-4715.912.53.3613.414.9-1.47

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Kelly10100.04-0.540.57-0.084-252916.614.42.2117.412.74.75
Jordan Clarkson38390.01-0.510.52-0.5519-405913.915.0-1.1615.511.73.87
Xavier Henry2425-0.00-0.500.50-0.4415-365113.315.0-1.7116.012.23.85
Robert Sacre3233-0.01-0.490.47-0.5117-385512.615.5-2.8715.412.13.34
Ronnie Price6366-0.05-0.450.39-0.4714-354913.915.7-1.8014.610.54.08
Ed Davis5155-0.20-0.300.11-0.293-242714.115.1-1.0414.511.62.87
Carlos Boozer4847-0.33-0.17-0.150.49-287-3515.513.81.6411.314.6-3.35
Kobe Bryant6970-0.42-0.08-0.340.58-3413-4715.013.71.2911.815.6-3.79
Jordan Hill5958-0.45-0.05-0.390.64-3716-5315.213.81.3711.015.7-4.66
Jeremy Lin5151-0.530.03-0.560.56-3716-5315.413.91.4911.414.7-3.37
Wesley Johnson7071-0.560.06-0.610.65-4120-6115.013.71.2912.015.4-3.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 117, LAC 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
GSW 128, POR 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
SAS 99, DEN 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%