NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	9.4 [102]		MVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): +35.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	3.9 [344]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -29.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,0.36	-0.02	0.38	0.00	18	47%	0.45	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.08	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.03	0.02	8	47%	0.05	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29,-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.01	16	52%	-0.13	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.00	0.02	11	77%	0.18	1	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Malcolm Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.06	-0.01	5	25%	0.18	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,-0.06,0,0.08,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	16	69%	0.33	8	-0.39	7	71%	0.03
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	7	25%	-0.10	2	-0.13	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	42.0	0.7	24.6	2.3	45.6	141.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +13.4%

PHI -6.7%

ORL +13.5%

ORL +30.8%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	15.1	91.0	87.3	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		100.4	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.3		103.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.4	12.8	17.6	16.8	14.7
PHI	13.7	12.4	16.7	13.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	75	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-2	6	14.5	15.3	-0.81	13.9	13.5	0.41
Maurice Harkless	37	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	-5	12	15.2	14.4	0.82	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Ben Gordon	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	-4	10	15.6	14.0	1.55	14.1	13.7	0.45
Dewayne Dedmon	23	21	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-5	12	13.4	15.1	-1.66	14.2	13.8	0.49
Elfrid Payton	56	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.24	2	0	2	15.4	13.7	1.68	14.3	13.2	1.06
Tobias Harris	74	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	3	-4	14.7	14.6	0.07	14.2	12.7	1.55
Luke Ridnour	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	2	-2	13.7	15.4	-1.68	13.2	14.3	-1.06
Nikola Vucevic	74	77	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	7	-12	15.4	12.7	2.72	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Evan Fournier	58	61	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	6	-10	14.0	15.6	-1.55	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Aaron Gordon	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	8	-14	13.0	15.0	-2.01	13.0	14.0	-1.02

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	41	36	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-10	18	13.1	14.4	-1.30	14.3	14.9	-0.57
JaKarr Sampson	9	10	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	15.2	13.7	1.50	10.8	15.1	-4.30
Chris Johnson	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-4	6	14.7	13.6	1.07	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Tony Wroten	74	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-7	12	13.7	14.1	-0.40	15.2	13.3	1.92
Malcolm Thomas	20	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	1	-4	15.3	13.5	1.86	13.7	14.9	-1.27
KJ McDaniels	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-2	2	13.3	14.7	-1.43	14.9	14.3	0.59
Hollis Thompson	74	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	13.5	14.9	-1.43	14.7	14.5	0.26
Brandon Davies	63	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-1	0	14.3	13.2	1.09	14.5	14.9	-0.34
Henry Sims	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	0	-2	13.5	14.2	-0.67	15.5	13.9	1.65
Luc Mbah a Moute	54	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	7	-16	13.8	14.0	-0.20	15.8	13.5	2.27
Alexey Shved	40	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	11	-24	14.8	13.3	1.52	13.3	15.6	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.27,0	91.4%
MIA 92, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.28,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.58,0	91.1%
NOH 96, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.45,0.42,0	90.8%