NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	85		Excitement	2.4 [1251]		MVP	Alan Anderson (BKN): +7.0%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	1.0 [1124]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): -8.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	68%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Perry Jones	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	10	10%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	20	51%	-0.01	7	-0.07	5	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.20	0.00	0.13	8	112%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	71%	0.06	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	26.6	16.3	26.5	2.4	30.5	130.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +33.5%

BKN +8.2%

OKC -4.0%

BKN +9.2%

BKN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BKN	NBA	OKC	BKN	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.1	94.4	127.5	104.2
season	14.5	15.3		105.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	18.3	17.0	15.4	17.4	17.0
BKN	13.8	15.0	16.6	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	36	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.23	-12	-19	7	17.3	16.8	0.54	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Lance Thomas	44	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.37	-18	-13	-5	16.2	17.8	-1.67	13.2	16.4	-3.21
Steven Adams	54	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-19	7	17.5	16.3	1.18	15.7	13.5	2.14
Sebastian Telfair	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-20	9	16.1	19.5	-3.34	14.9	14.6	0.25
Andre Roberson	20	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-17	3	18.7	16.5	2.24	14.9	14.8	0.10
Kendrick Perkins	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	-12	-7	16.3	17.5	-1.18	13.5	15.7	-2.14
Serge Ibaka	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	-12	-7	16.8	17.3	-0.54	15.7	13.7	2.00
Reggie Jackson	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.42	-28	-3	-25	16.9	17.5	-0.53	15.3	12.2	3.03
Perry Jones	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	-9	-13	18.1	14.5	3.56	15.4	13.7	1.67

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	67	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	2	27	15.4	13.3	2.02	17.7	14.7	3.06
Mason Plumlee	30	30	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.46	27	4	23	13.8	15.3	-1.48	16.1	17.5	-1.37
Joe Johnson	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	15	1	15.1	14.4	0.68	17.0	17.1	-0.12
Bojan Bogdanovic	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	17	-3	14.8	14.9	-0.09	17.2	16.8	0.43
Kevin Garnett	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	19	-7	16.2	14.0	2.19	19.0	15.7	3.30
Jarrett Jack	54	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.40	21	10	11	14.0	16.0	-1.94	16.5	17.8	-1.27
Alan Anderson	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.32	17	14	3	14.0	15.2	-1.21	18.1	16.4	1.68
Mirza Teletovic	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.44	21	10	11	13.6	15.8	-2.17	16.7	17.3	-0.56
Jerome Jordan	24	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	25	-19	13.1	15.4	-2.36	14.4	17.9	-3.44
Brook Lopez	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	33	-35	16.4	13.5	2.85	18.3	15.8	2.56
Andrei Kirilenko	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	33	-35	15.7	14.7	0.98	13.1	17.4	-4.27
Jorge Gutierrez	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	33	-35	15.7	14.7	0.98	13.1	17.4	-4.27
Sergey Karasev	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	33	-35	15.7	14.7	0.98	13.1	17.4	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
DEN 77, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
BOS 92, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%