inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 77 Excitement2.1 [1251] MVPKevin Garnett (MIN): +5.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 98 Comeback1.0 [1181] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -13.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Doleac0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03250%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04378%-0.0000.00367%-0.00
Jon Barry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.01743%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.01846%-0.041-0.00887%0.00
Andre Miller-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01942%-0.0500.006100%0.02
Voshon Lenard-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.031329%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Nene-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.02640%-0.052-0.03875%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.200.00-0.072228%-0.113-0.0220%-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001462%0.061-0.014100%0.01
Michael Olowokandi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03862%0.0200.0000%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02558%0.0210.002100%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.051453%0.033-0.02667%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Oliver Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.021241%-0.0100.003100%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00350%-0.0100.0020%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.001358%0.023-0.04580%-0.00
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.06520%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.326.315.827.21.831.2128.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +46.5%
MIN +0.2%
MIN +0.5%
MIN +1.5%
MIN +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.816.215.782.8105.4100.5
season14.915.6101.6103.2
opponent16.115.498.4101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.414.915.013.914.8
MIN15.918.715.015.516.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson19200.00-0.500.50-0.3813-344712.415.4-3.0415.616.3-0.74
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2425-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-263113.915.1-1.2315.516.4-0.96
Ryan Bowen3031-0.08-0.420.35-0.111-222313.615.3-1.7515.616.5-0.81
Michael Doleac2726-0.17-0.330.170.39-19-2-1713.615.3-1.6817.415.71.67
Andre Miller5150-0.23-0.270.040.00-8-13514.714.9-0.1816.515.80.69
Voshon Lenard4747-0.24-0.260.010.08-11-10-115.613.91.6815.616.7-1.10
Jon Barry4646-0.26-0.24-0.010.04-10-11113.915.6-1.6816.715.61.10
Earl Boykins4243-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-8-514.914.70.1815.816.5-0.69
Nene5756-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-20-1-1916.012.93.1415.617.1-1.49
Marcus Camby5959-0.42-0.08-0.340.19-210-2115.313.91.4216.715.31.45
Carmelo Anthony6362-0.42-0.08-0.350.22-221-2315.313.61.7516.515.60.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett57570.410.090.33-0.111831516.815.31.4815.413.81.60
Sam Cassell56570.410.090.32-0.182011915.617.1-1.4916.012.93.14
Fred Hoiberg58570.370.130.23-0.191921716.815.21.6214.914.60.28
Trenton Hassell61610.320.180.140.41-324-2716.515.51.0414.116.1-2.00
Ervin Johnson39390.300.200.09-0.14156914.417.5-3.0516.613.53.15
Latrell Sprewell58580.230.27-0.03-0.382102115.417.4-2.0015.613.52.04
Wally Szczerbiak46460.170.33-0.17-0.01615-916.615.80.8413.116.4-3.36
Michael Olowokandi29300.160.34-0.18-0.452102117.515.61.8914.415.0-0.57
Mark Madsen35350.130.37-0.24-0.31156917.115.61.4915.014.70.30
Oliver Miller10100.000.50-0.500.41-1435-4915.316.3-0.999.415.4-6.03
Gary Trent16150.000.50-0.500.38-1334-4714.616.5-1.8811.615.4-3.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 83, IND 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
BOS 81, NJN 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
PHX 88, OKC 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%