inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 83 Excitement2.1 [1291] MVPStephen Jackson (IND): +8.7%
Indiana Pacers 101 Comeback1.1 [1201] LVPBaron Davis (GSW): -8.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.130.000.08995%0.062-0.011100%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05250%0.002-0.00250%-0.00
Rodney White0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02337%0.0000.00250%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.021039%-0.0100.003100%0.01
Andris Biedrins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.000.000.03380%-0.012-0.02450%-0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02721%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.01642%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.140.00-0.071240%-0.024-0.04683%0.01
Baron Davis-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.001348%-0.035-0.063100%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.00-0.071655%0.0910.00875%0.01
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.04750%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.041747%0.0400.006100%0.02
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001050%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05487%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021254%0.0100.0020%-0.01
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.071038%0.022-0.0210%-0.00
Eddie Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01250%-0.0000.004100%0.01
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01456%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00542%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.433.816.023.12.526.2128.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +25.3%
IND +4.0%
IND +2.9%
IND +16.6%
IND +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWINDNBAGSWINDNBA
this game14.217.215.589.2111.0104.0
season15.016.8102.3101.9
opponent15.515.2101.6104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW17.214.012.912.514.2
IND13.516.718.120.817.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili770.02-0.520.54-0.125-232812.014.3-2.3420.716.93.83
Rodney White1515-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-243012.414.5-2.1022.316.26.10
Calbert Cheaney3031-0.01-0.490.48-0.289-273612.415.0-2.6520.515.45.07
Zarko Cabarkapa86-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-141016.513.92.5613.817.4-3.58
Andris Biedrins4241-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-141013.514.7-1.2917.916.61.32
Mike Dunleavy5454-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-8-213.814.6-0.8317.416.80.62
Adonal Foyle4241-0.22-0.280.070.08-10-8-215.213.31.8815.818.3-2.50
Mickael Pietrus5252-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-12614.214.10.0317.317.00.35
Baron Davis5350-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-5-13813.515.1-1.6017.516.80.76
Troy Murphy5655-0.32-0.18-0.150.23-191-2014.513.60.8516.418.3-1.92
Derek Fisher5858-0.39-0.11-0.270.41-279-3614.912.92.0016.019.3-3.29
Jason Richardson4845-0.44-0.06-0.390.29-257-3215.312.92.3815.319.0-3.78

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Croshere42440.360.140.22-0.2822-42615.019.1-4.0913.914.4-0.44
Stephen Jackson61610.310.190.130.08810-218.015.62.3513.415.7-2.33
Eddie Gill34350.280.220.06-0.10135815.718.0-2.3013.914.3-0.35
Scot Pollard34360.270.230.040.03810-216.917.3-0.3713.614.5-0.85
Fred Jones33350.270.230.04-0.201621415.618.1-2.4214.314.10.15
Reggie Miller55550.230.27-0.040.29-220-2217.916.01.9014.513.70.72
Dale Davis54540.230.27-0.040.06612-617.117.2-0.0714.913.21.69
Anthony Johnson58580.220.28-0.060.08513-818.115.62.4214.313.90.35
James Jones32350.190.31-0.13-0.221441015.917.8-1.9115.013.71.34
Jeff Foster52520.140.36-0.220.14018-1819.114.64.5714.014.4-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 89, MIA 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
ATL 89, HOU 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
CLE 75, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%