inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 92 Excitement2.3 [1258] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +6.7%
Milwaukee Bucks 116 Comeback1.0 [1069] LVPTerry Rozier (BOS): -10.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aron Baynes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.073133%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.031152%0.0200.00560%-0.01
Jaylen Brown0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04955%0.0000.002100%0.01
Abdel Nader0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02633%0.0000.0000%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01243%0.0000.00333%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.061359%0.022-0.041100%0.00
Semi Ojeleye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.02437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.031244%-0.025-0.051070%-0.01
Marcus Morris-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.100.00-0.01839%-0.044-0.062100%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.080.000.03747%-0.025-0.09580%-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.031373%0.092-0.0200%0.00
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.07582%0.0600.00771%-0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.041363%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.033100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.110.000.081766%0.041-0.0110%-0.01
Jabari Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.041261%0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022125%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03233%0.0010.002100%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05831%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.727.314.029.02.827.0131.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +44.7%
BOS -2.9%
BOS -8.3%
MIL +14.8%
MIL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game17.415.014.7103.4130.3107.5
season15.114.3106.4108.5
opponent15.414.7108.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS18.017.515.618.517.4
MIL12.015.215.717.515.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Guerschon Yabusele9100.00-0.500.50-0.031-252620.817.03.7819.614.45.21
Abdel Nader2020-0.02-0.480.460.16-6-181218.517.11.4417.514.23.25
Semi Ojeleye2123-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-181218.617.01.5615.514.80.68
Greg Monroe4342-0.21-0.290.080.14-12-12016.917.9-1.0115.314.70.58
Shane Larkin3736-0.24-0.260.020.34-20-4-1617.817.10.7813.116.3-3.18
Aron Baynes5252-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-171018.116.41.7616.413.03.43
Jayson Tatum5452-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-16-8-817.617.10.5414.216.1-1.94
Marcus Morris4847-0.33-0.17-0.150.29-21-3-1816.918.0-1.1014.115.9-1.76
Jaylen Brown5455-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-11-13216.718.4-1.6815.114.70.44
Terry Rozier5959-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-14416.818.5-1.6914.915.2-0.29
Al Horford4849-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-12016.818.1-1.2814.016.2-2.27

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Khris Middleton63630.370.130.24-0.131771015.015.0-0.0916.818.7-1.85
Giannis Antetokounmpo52550.370.130.24-0.10168813.517.0-3.4617.317.5-0.14
Thon Maker46470.330.170.16-0.342312214.315.7-1.3916.618.3-1.67
Jabari Parker58560.290.210.09-0.201771014.915.0-0.0817.217.7-0.45
Matthew Dellavedova32320.260.240.02-0.091212013.815.6-1.8715.718.3-2.65
Malcolm Brogdon53510.260.240.020.05717-1015.813.72.0617.317.4-0.11
Tony Snell41420.240.26-0.02-0.291861214.215.7-1.5018.016.91.13
Eric Bledsoe49500.240.26-0.02-0.141311215.114.80.3718.316.22.14
Tyler Zeller33320.140.36-0.230.08222-2015.814.51.3418.816.62.18
Sterling Brown550.000.50-0.500.06-226-2822.014.67.4419.017.31.71
Shabazz Muhammad550.000.50-0.500.06-226-2822.014.67.4419.017.31.71
Brandon Jennings870.000.50-0.500.03-125-2618.714.64.1518.417.31.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 65, WAS 950.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
ATL 80, CLE 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
TOR 100, IND 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%