inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 100 Excitement2.2 [1278] MVPBrandon Rush (IND): +10.8%
Indiana Pacers 124 Comeback1.0 [1188] LVPSonny Weems (TOR): -9.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.140.000.111275%0.031-0.00475%0.00
Amir Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011352%0.021-0.01333%-0.02
Joey Dorsey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ed Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.071443%0.014-0.0300%0.00
Julian Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.021100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.021248%-0.004-0.031100%-0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01935%-0.0500.00250%-0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.031148%-0.022-0.02367%-0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.061025%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Sonny Weems-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.070.000.021036%-0.062-0.032100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.000.071872%0.121-0.0100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.03779%0.0600.0000%0.00
Danny Granger0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.031662%0.084-0.03250%-0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.03869%0.0400.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.120.000.11789%0.032-0.025100%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02968%0.045-0.031100%0.00
Dahntay Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.040100%0.0000.004100%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02542%-0.011-0.00250%-0.01
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00350%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.031146%-0.041-0.00475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.427.415.825.22.329.7126.3
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +40.8%
IND +1.2%
IND +1.7%
IND +4.7%
IND +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORINDNBATORINDNBA
this game14.213.515.596.2119.2105.7
season15.114.7104.7103.1
opponent15.415.5104.5111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.317.512.612.714.2
IND13.412.515.712.613.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joey Dorsey890.00-0.500.500.06-2-222014.714.10.6210.413.8-3.37
Ed Davis3939-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-181214.414.00.3413.613.50.07
Sonny Weems4343-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-201613.714.5-0.8514.013.20.86
Julian Wright1818-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-11-216.813.63.1512.813.7-0.90
Linas Kleiza3838-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-11-214.214.20.0213.213.7-0.53
Jerryd Bayless3434-0.25-0.250.010.08-11-13215.313.61.6714.912.82.11
Jose Calderon7070-0.25-0.25-0.010.13-13-11-213.615.3-1.6712.814.9-2.11
DeMar DeRozan7473-0.26-0.24-0.020.15-14-10-413.515.8-2.2913.314.1-0.78
Amir Johnson6061-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-15614.413.80.6513.613.40.21
Leandro Barbosa6565-0.35-0.15-0.200.09-15-9-614.513.70.7714.112.61.49
Andrea Bargnani7170-0.39-0.11-0.280.20-20-4-1613.814.9-1.1213.613.40.25

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush66660.350.150.21-0.031311213.613.40.1114.913.01.89
Mike Dunleavy62630.350.150.21-0.201951414.412.22.1914.014.5-0.48
Danny Granger71710.290.210.08-0.121410413.114.4-1.3313.615.3-1.70
James Posey37380.290.210.080.11618-1214.912.82.1315.813.32.51
T.J. Ford37370.290.210.070.05816-815.412.52.8415.513.42.12
Solomon Jones30300.260.240.020.02816-816.412.44.0515.513.61.86
Roy Hibbert65660.240.26-0.02-0.171410412.615.0-2.4113.515.3-1.84
Darren Collison58590.210.29-0.07-0.201410412.814.4-1.5613.215.4-2.16
Josh McRoberts59570.210.29-0.08-0.351951412.814.4-1.6314.014.4-0.42
Tyler Hansbrough17170.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2211.413.9-2.5911.514.7-3.16
Dahntay Jones980.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2010.413.8-3.3714.714.10.62
A.J. Price980.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2010.413.8-3.3714.714.10.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 100, CLE 1220.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
SAS 84, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
DEN 87, WAS 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%