NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	1.6 [1305]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +12.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.1 [979]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -8.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	16	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	9	33%	0.00	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	9	65%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	3	83%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.03	7	53%	-0.04	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	41%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.07	14	72%	0.13	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.18	0.00	0.11	17	72%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	83%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	10	29%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	31%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	30.0	14.8	25.1	2.4	29.6	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.0%

POR +4.5%

POR +5.6%

POR +8.2%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	17.4	15.5	95.5	114.6	106.4
season	16.4	16.7		106.6	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.7		105.8	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.3	14.7	15.0	14.6	15.2
POR	15.0	16.6	19.3	18.8	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-25	32	11.9	15.8	-3.86	18.1	17.2	0.93
Malik Hairston	46	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-25	32	13.7	16.8	-3.04	18.3	16.1	2.20
Fabricio Oberto	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-23	28	13.6	16.1	-2.53	18.8	16.5	2.32
Bruce Bowen	34	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-15	12	15.0	15.3	-0.33	17.2	17.5	-0.32
George Hill	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-11	4	15.1	15.2	-0.16	17.4	17.4	-0.01
Ime Udoka	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-11	4	13.6	16.1	-2.45	17.1	17.5	-0.48
Michael Finley	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-8	-2	17.1	14.3	2.84	16.2	17.9	-1.63
Kurt Thomas	26	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.24	-17	-1	-16	16.9	14.5	2.43	16.5	17.7	-1.22
Tim Duncan	46	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-3	-12	15.7	14.6	1.10	16.7	18.1	-1.41
Tony Parker	50	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	15.2	15.1	0.16	17.4	17.4	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	4	-26	16.1	14.1	1.92	17.4	17.3	0.11
Matt Bonner	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-1	-16	16.4	13.8	2.56	17.2	17.6	-0.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.16	21	-3	24	17.3	17.5	-0.20	15.6	14.0	1.61
Travis Outlaw	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	5	8	17.1	17.7	-0.64	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Steve Blake	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	7	4	17.4	17.3	0.14	15.2	15.1	0.13
Brandon Roy	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	1	16	16.2	19.0	-2.76	16.2	13.7	2.53
Rudy Fernandez	56	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	10	-2	18.1	16.1	2.06	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Joel Przybilla	51	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	7	4	17.2	17.6	-0.38	15.3	15.1	0.21
Channing Frye	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	11	-4	17.6	17.2	0.38	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Sergio Rodriguez	18	18	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	8	2	17.9	17.2	0.73	17.6	14.6	3.00
Nicolas Batum	41	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	19	-20	17.8	17.0	0.74	15.3	15.1	0.20
Jerryd Bayless	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	21	-24	17.0	17.4	-0.43	12.1	15.8	-3.66
Shavlik Randolph	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	19.0	17.2	1.76	8.6	15.6	-6.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 66, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DET 100, CLE 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DEN 87, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%