inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 92 Excitement9.2 [120] MVPJ.R. Smith (NYK): +17.3%
New York Knicks 95 Comeback12.9 [44] LVPDwight Buycks (TOR): -58.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nando De Colo0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.12,0.1-0.010.09-0.021250%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.02-0.001563%0.204-0.11560%-0.01
Greivis Vasquez0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00972%0.132-0.0700%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.060.020.03-0.00852%0.081-0.02560%-0.05
Jonas Valanciunas0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.01667%0.041-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.02556%0.023-0.06683%0.01
Terrence Ross-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02540%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.050.01750%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.00325%-0.042-0.0520%-0.03
Charles Hayes-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1-0.04-0.07-0.0100%0.002-0.1000%0.00
Steve Novak-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.100.00333%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Dwight Buycks-0.590,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.59-0.16-0.44-0.01714%-0.394-0.2000%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.23,0.12,0.170.170.160.070.061971%0.222-0.04450%-0.02
Cole Aldrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.12,0.120.120.050.07-0.00865%0.231-0.11475%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.020.020.03-0.000.011553%0.071-0.05475%-0.00
Toure Murry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.020.001260%0.193-0.181100%0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.01-0.00750%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.001100%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00643%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.001014%-0.1600.0020%-0.02
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.15-0.05-0.0230%-0.045-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.12.525.617.425.62.045.2146.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +55.0%
TOR -4.5%
TOR -28.3%
NYK +15.6%
NYK +12.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNYKNBATORNYKNBA
this game15.215.415.196.8102.2105.2
season15.916.0107.2106.4
opponent15.415.1107.6104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.512.716.018.015.2
NYK15.516.814.614.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greivis Vasquez46440.40-0.901.30-0.0716-193514.016.4-2.3915.615.30.35
Patrick Patterson44410.28-0.781.06-0.1314-173113.816.4-2.5515.615.30.32
DeMar DeRozan4342-0.17-0.330.170.16-118-1915.415.00.4215.515.40.04
Terrence Ross4242-0.18-0.320.140.08-96-1514.715.6-0.8515.015.7-0.70
Jonas Valanciunas3031-0.19-0.310.120.02-74-1115.914.91.0615.415.4-0.02
Kyle Lowry5252-0.23-0.270.050.07-107-1715.215.3-0.0815.215.7-0.50
Amir Johnson2829-0.25-0.250.000.05-107-1716.114.81.2715.815.30.53
Tyler Hansbrough5653-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.475-81315.414.90.5315.415.4-0.03
Nando De Colo5049-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.536-91515.315.10.1915.815.10.69
Dwight Buycks4342-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.38-1-2115.515.00.4715.815.10.69
Steve Novak1515-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.42-2-1-118.514.63.8714.815.6-0.75
Charles Hayes2625-0.600.10-0.70-0.42-63-915.415.10.2914.615.7-1.14

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith52540.93-0.431.370.3221-183914.816.2-1.3716.114.02.17
Cole Aldrich78770.77-0.271.050.4212-92115.116.9-1.7915.713.22.45
Iman Shumpert57570.64-0.140.770.2812-92115.415.5-0.1116.113.92.24
Toure Murry56570.280.220.070.52-811-1915.215.8-0.5914.915.7-0.83
Pablo Prigioni26270.250.250.00-0.0711-81915.315.5-0.2217.014.52.45
Tim Hardaway Jr.68690.230.27-0.030.56-1114-2515.914.01.9014.816.4-1.67
Amar'e Stoudemire39390.060.44-0.380.0021116.314.81.5114.715.6-0.92
Shannon Brown4345-0.320.82-1.14-0.03-1013-2315.415.5-0.0613.516.7-3.19
Jeremy Tyler4650-0.350.85-1.190.06-1417-3115.615.30.2714.516.0-1.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 80, NOK 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.78,0.92,191.8%
PHI 101, MIN 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.74,191.1%
GSW 84, CHI 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.73,190.7%