NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	8.8 [121]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +18.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	8.6 [302]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -40.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	18	61%	0.10	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.13
Zendon Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Amal McCaskill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.23,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	21	53%	-0.03	5	-0.11	11	100%	0.14
Kenny Thomas	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	11	53%	-0.05	3	-0.14	8	75%	-0.06
Eric Snow	-0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.4	-0.04	-0.37	-0.01	13	47%	-0.35	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.05,0.05,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	23	62%	0.30	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.11
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.10	0.02	17	66%	0.18	4	-0.07	10	100%	0.12
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	18	50%	-0.12	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.5	35.2	18.4	29.5	4.4	43.4	160.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +75.6%

PHI -8.1%

PHI -25.2%

MIN +8.8%

PHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.7	102.0	110.4	100.5
season	16.2	15.6		96.7	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		98.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	14.8	16.3	15.2	15.5
MIN	12.5	16.6	12.8	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	10	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-6	7	15.1	15.6	-0.47	13.3	14.1	-0.72
Zendon Hamilton	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	20.0	15.5	4.52	25.0	13.9	11.13
Willie Green	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	2.0	15.7	-13.66	22.0	13.9	8.09
Kyle Korver	2	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-4	3	4.0	15.8	-11.76	1.0	14.4	-13.41
Amal McCaskill	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	13.7	15.9	-2.21	16.7	13.3	3.43
Glenn Robinson	77	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-7	9	15.7	14.9	0.79	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Samuel Dalembert	84	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-3	1	16.5	10.2	6.28	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Eric Snow	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-6	7	15.5	15.7	-0.30	14.8	11.3	3.52
Kenny Thomas	87	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.8	13.8	1.93	13.6	16.5	-2.87
Allen Iverson	94	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	15.5	16.2	-0.71	13.8	17.4	-3.60
Aaron McKie	45	43	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	8	-21	14.8	16.2	-1.41	13.6	14.3	-0.66

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	16	18	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	0	5	15.3	13.7	1.59	16.4	15.3	1.12
Kevin Garnett	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	13.7	15.6	-1.91	15.5	15.5	0.07
Latrell Sprewell	78	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	13.2	17.3	-4.05	16.0	13.6	2.41
Sam Cassell	82	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	5	-5	13.7	15.9	-2.27	15.6	14.9	0.70
Trenton Hassell	86	89	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.18	5	0	5	14.3	11.7	2.56	15.3	17.9	-2.64
Fred Hoiberg	31	33	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	2	1	13.9	14.0	-0.13	13.9	16.3	-2.42
Oliver Miller	34	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	3	-1	14.6	13.7	0.88	15.6	15.5	0.20
Darrick Martin	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	2	1	14.5	13.9	0.61	14.7	15.7	-0.92
Ervin Johnson	35	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	4	-3	13.5	14.3	-0.75	16.7	14.9	1.84
Gary Trent	21	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	9	-13	16.8	13.2	3.55	14.5	15.8	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 92, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	92.7%
MIL 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,1	91.5%
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	91.5%