NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	80		Excitement	7.5 [331]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOK): +17.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	84		Comeback	6.8 [422]		LVP	Anthony Carter (MIN): -21.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.06	-0.03	16	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Richie Frahm	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	10	38%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.00	19	51%	0.07	3	-0.18	9	89%	0.04
Marko Jaric	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	3	0%	-0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.16	0.00	19	46%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	6	76%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	18	55%	0.17	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	6	17%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.6	28.3	13.6	28.2	1.7	38.0	138.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -14.0%

NOK +16.6%

NOK +51.0%

MIN -1.4%

MIN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOK	NBA	MIN	NOK	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.6	93.0	97.7	104.4
season	16.1	16.3		101.0	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.9		104.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	16.7	17.9	17.2	16.3
NOK	19.5	16.8	14.8	17.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	17	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-7	10	15.2	16.5	-1.35	16.7	17.4	-0.66
Eddie Griffin	17	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-10	16	12.4	17.2	-4.79	13.2	18.3	-5.14
Mark Madsen	16	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	17.8	15.9	1.91	20.1	16.5	3.64
Trenton Hassell	44	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-1	-2	16.7	15.8	0.83	17.2	17.3	-0.13
Richie Frahm	24	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-4	4	15.1	16.7	-1.63	16.4	17.7	-1.30
Marko Jaric	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	5	-14	15.8	16.5	-0.76	16.4	17.7	-1.31
Troy Hudson	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.52	5	-9	14	16.5	15.8	0.76	17.7	16.4	1.31
Michael Olowokandi	64	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	16.9	14.4	2.48	17.9	15.6	2.37
Wally Szczerbiak	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	-3	2	15.7	19.3	-3.62	16.6	20.2	-3.63
Anthony Carter	15	15	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	3	-10	21.0	15.3	5.75	22.8	16.1	6.74
Kevin Garnett	75	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	8	-20	16.3	16.3	-0.02	16.9	19.4	-2.45

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	77	78	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-7	18	17.3	17.0	0.26	16.7	12.0	4.69
J.R. Smith	52	53	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-4	12	16.1	19.0	-2.97	16.0	16.7	-0.77
Bostjan Nachbar	34	37	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-9	22	16.9	17.4	-0.53	17.1	15.6	1.50
Chris Paul	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-6	16	16.8	19.4	-2.54	16.2	16.6	-0.38
David West	78	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-3	10	16.6	23.5	-6.91	16.1	17.6	-1.45
Kirk Snyder	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	3	-2	18.3	17.1	1.18	17.3	16.2	1.16
Brandon Bass	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	24.1	16.5	7.60	18.4	16.0	2.34
Speedy Claxton	48	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	16	-28	17.5	16.8	0.70	15.4	17.2	-1.81
Jackson Vroman	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	11	-18	16.4	17.3	-0.88	11.9	16.8	-4.88
Desmond Mason	46	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	19.0	15.2	3.75	16.7	15.8	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.84,1	91.8%
TOR 109, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	91.2%
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	90.9%