NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	104		Excitement	7.0 [413]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +30.4%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	43.4 [81]		LVP	Austin Rivers (NOP): -9.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	71%	0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	63%	0.14	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.04	0.06	-0.04	-0.02	18	60%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
James Southerland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	24	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.08

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	-0.01	12	71%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.16	0.01	22	61%	0.35	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.06
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.11	0.02	8	86%	0.27	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.1	15.4	30.3	2.0	42.2	145.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.1%

HOU +13.4%

HOU +1.9%

NOP -2.0%

NOP -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	17.1	12.9	15.1	108.3	115.6	105.2
season	15.5	14.3		105.6	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.5	15.5	19.5	17.1	17.1
HOU	13.0	15.1	12.3	11.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Southerland	20	21	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-9	11	17.6	17.0	0.64	12.6	12.9	-0.36
Jeff Withey	37	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-7	7	17.9	16.7	1.21	13.0	12.8	0.19
Anthony Morrow	83	82	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	17.4	15.5	1.95	13.0	12.3	0.67
Darius Miller	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-7	7	16.0	19.1	-3.10	13.1	12.5	0.58
Alexis Ajinca	65	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	-1	-5	16.9	17.6	-0.69	13.0	12.5	0.50
Austin Rivers	90	90	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	17.0	19.3	-2.33	12.7	15.3	-2.64
Luke Babbitt	66	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	2	-11	17.5	16.3	1.18	12.8	13.0	-0.26
Al-Farouq Aminu	57	56	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	5	-17	17.4	16.8	0.50	12.7	13.1	-0.42

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	27	26	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.37	19	-12	31	11.1	13.5	-2.43	17.3	17.1	0.22
Dwight Howard	59	59	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.28	21	-14	35	12.4	13.6	-1.16	17.3	16.8	0.50
Patrick Beverley	65	67	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.26	18	-11	29	12.8	12.9	-0.02	17.5	16.4	1.05
James Harden	88	87	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-4	15	12.8	13.5	-0.70	17.0	18.8	-1.80
Jeremy Lin	64	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	5	-3	12.5	13.7	-1.20	17.2	17.1	0.09
Jordan Hamilton	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	13	-19	13.2	12.7	0.53	15.5	17.7	-2.19
Donatas Motiejunas	27	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	10	-13	12.7	12.9	-0.26	18.0	16.8	1.22
Omri Casspi	43	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	11	-15	13.4	12.4	0.94	17.6	16.7	0.85
Terrence Jones	46	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.00	-9	16	-25	14.0	11.8	2.16	16.8	17.5	-0.70
Omer Asik	37	37	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.01	-14	21	-35	13.6	12.4	1.16	16.8	17.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.69,1	92.1%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	91.5%
TOR 79, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.26,1	91.1%