NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	7.4 [349]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NOP): +19.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	88		Comeback	2.7 [577]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (NOP): -18.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	14	67%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	14	70%	0.29	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.11	-0.04	12	42%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	68%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.07,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	13	57%	0.20	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	8	74%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	10	74%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	11	42%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	12	36%	-0.04	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	25.5	15.8	24.8	0.2	36.2	126.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.6%

NOP -23.1%

NOP -7.1%

PHX +16.9%

NOP -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	17.0	15.1	103.3	95.7	105.2
season	14.7	15.5		107.7	105.6
opponent	15.3	14.9		108.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	15.4	15.1	15.2	14.4
NOP	16.5	16.6	18.3	16.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	54	56	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.57	12	-6	18	13.8	15.4	-1.67	16.9	17.2	-0.28
PJ Tucker	63	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-11	28	13.7	16.1	-2.41	17.3	16.5	0.74
Miles Plumlee	45	43	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-2	10	14.7	14.2	0.45	18.7	15.6	3.06
Goran Dragic	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-5	16	14.1	15.8	-1.67	17.2	16.3	0.89
Eric Bledsoe	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	14.3	15.0	-0.71	17.5	15.2	2.35
Channing Frye	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	-5	16	13.7	15.4	-1.73	17.2	16.8	0.44
Ish Smith	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	16.3	14.2	2.10	14.7	17.3	-2.61
Marcus Morris	33	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	16	-26	15.8	13.7	2.16	16.4	17.4	-0.92
Shavlik Randolph	8	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	17	-28	19.4	14.0	5.41	15.6	17.2	-1.53
Gerald Green	46	48	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.18	-11	17	-28	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.3	18.9	-3.66

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	59	60	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.19	2	-8	10	17.2	16.7	0.51	15.0	13.4	1.55
Jeff Withey	45	43	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-12	18	16.7	17.3	-0.65	15.0	14.0	1.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-5	4	17.3	16.8	0.44	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Luke Babbitt	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-15	24	16.3	18.1	-1.76	14.9	13.8	1.12
Brian Roberts	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	17.9	16.4	1.58	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Anthony Morrow	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-8	10	16.7	17.5	-0.81	14.7	14.1	0.59
Austin Rivers	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-6	6	16.4	18.1	-1.65	14.6	14.2	0.37
Greg Stiemsma	53	53	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.34	-18	12	-30	17.6	16.2	1.42	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Tyreke Evans	57	57	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.38	-22	16	-38	17.4	16.5	0.91	13.7	15.7	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.4,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.55,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	91.5%
DET 104, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.27,0	90.8%
MIN 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.37,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	90.5%