NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	9.8 [85]		MVP	Chris Copeland (IND): +62.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	2.2 [551]		LVP	Donald Sloan (IND): -17.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Copeland	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.62	0.16	0.44	-0.02	8	112%	0.66	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.17	0.01	17	67%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Evan Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	18	59%	0.32	2	-0.23	3	67%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.16	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Solomon Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Rasual Butler	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Donald Sloan	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	11	33%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.21	0.03	14	52%	0.27	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.18
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,0.07,0.16,-0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	21	46%	0.06	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	14	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.11,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	15	54%	0.08	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Chris Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	30.4	15.4	24.5	2.7	42.2	138.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +111.4%

MIL -56.8%

IND +3.0%

MIL -16.4%

IND +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.1	108.3	106.2	105.2
season	15.8	15.7		102.7	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	14.3	18.0	14.8	15.2
MIL	14.8	15.7	16.3	12.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	62	63	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.60	7	-5	12	14.8	15.8	-0.93	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Rasual Butler	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	14.3	16.7	-2.44	14.9	14.8	0.11
Evan Turner	84	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	15.2	15.1	0.10	14.9	14.5	0.34
Chris Copeland	34	34	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	1	0	15.8	14.8	1.02	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Donald Sloan	65	63	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	8	-14	14.9	15.7	-0.85	15.0	14.4	0.62
Lavoy Allen	54	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-2	6	16.2	13.8	2.41	14.8	14.8	0.01
Solomon Hill	44	45	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	4	-6	15.9	14.5	1.41	14.7	14.9	-0.23
CJ Watson	34	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	0	2	16.3	14.6	1.70	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Ian Mahinmi	42	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	8	-14	13.8	16.3	-2.50	15.0	14.7	0.38

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	65	67	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-12	22	14.7	15.2	-0.53	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Khris Middleton	73	74	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-4	6	14.7	15.3	-0.68	15.1	15.3	-0.14
Jeff Adrien	75	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-7	12	14.9	14.6	0.27	15.0	15.7	-0.67
John Henson	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	7	-16	15.3	14.5	0.76	15.6	14.8	0.80
Ramon Sessions	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-3	4	14.9	14.7	0.14	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Brandon Knight	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	14.9	14.4	0.55	15.2	15.2	0.00
Chris Wright	29	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	4	-10	14.4	15.0	-0.55	15.4	15.1	0.35
Giannis Antetokounmpo	42	41	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	8	-18	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.4	15.0	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.18,0	91.6%
BOS 95, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.28,0	89.9%
SEA 106, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.26,0	89.9%