NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	8.8 [138]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +19.6%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	2.3 [588]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -16.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,0.13,0.2	-0.03	0.24	0.01	15	49%	0.28	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Eddie House	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.09,-0.01,0	0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.04	13	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.13
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	14	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.19
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.06
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	8	56%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	10	41%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	31.3	15.7	29.3	2.4	39.4	145.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.6%

BOS +46.4%

SAC -20.7%

SAC -4.2%

BOS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.3	97.9	95.8	106.0
season	15.5	15.2		105.7	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.1	14.8	14.7	16.5	14.6
SAC	14.1	15.2	14.7	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	43	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-7	17	15.4	14.0	1.38	15.8	14.7	1.12
Glen Davis	32	31	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-8	19	16.0	14.0	1.97	17.5	14.1	3.33
Kendrick Perkins	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.44	-4	7	-11	14.5	14.8	-0.23	14.3	16.1	-1.74
Ray Allen	68	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.43	-5	8	-13	14.4	15.3	-0.99	14.1	18.3	-4.21
Rajon Rondo	69	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	6	-9	13.4	17.8	-4.46	14.3	17.5	-3.23
Eddie House	27	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-3	9	17.9	13.4	4.49	17.1	14.4	2.64
Paul Pierce	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	7	-11	14.2	15.6	-1.39	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Rasheed Wallace	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-4	11	14.8	14.5	0.23	16.7	13.8	2.89
Kevin Garnett	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.38	-8	11	-19	14.0	16.0	-1.97	14.1	17.5	-3.33
Tony Allen	17	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	14.8	14.6	0.21	17.5	14.7	2.83

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-3	3	29.5	14.9	14.61	19.0	14.6	4.44
Spencer Hawes	68	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-11	19	14.7	16.4	-1.74	14.7	14.6	0.06
Sean May	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-4	5	15.6	15.1	0.52	18.1	14.1	4.08
Ime Udoka	3	2	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	9.7	15.4	-5.71	4.5	14.9	-10.36
Andres Nocioni	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	4	-11	20.5	14.7	5.78	15.9	14.5	1.34
Tyreke Evans	81	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-10	17	15.5	13.4	2.13	14.9	13.6	1.23
Jon Brockman	10	11	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	7	-17	19.5	14.7	4.80	12.5	14.9	-2.37
Donte Greene	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	14.5	16.0	-1.52	15.2	14.0	1.17
Omri Casspi	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-6	9	14.4	18.1	-3.77	13.4	19.0	-5.61
Kevin Martin	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	1	-5	13.9	18.9	-5.03	13.4	18.2	-4.84
Beno Udrih	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-1	-1	16.1	14.6	1.52	16.5	13.4	3.09
Jason Thompson	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	2	-7	16.2	13.6	2.65	15.3	13.5	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	91.5%
BKN 96, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.28,0	91.1%
MIN 108, DEN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.27,0	90.8%