NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	96		Excitement	8.6 [177]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): +51.8%
Miami Heat	95		Comeback	1.8 [205]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -18.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.52	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.52	0.25	0.28	0.01	12	94%	0.57	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	11	71%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Mason Plumlee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	11	52%	0.03	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	0.02	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	11	64%	0.20	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.05	0.02	11	76%	0.14	2	-0.08	7	86%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.23,0.14,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.10	0.02	14	73%	0.33	2	-0.31	5	80%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.12	5	-0.15	9	67%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	3	14%	-0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.8	30.1	16.8	25.4	3.4	37.3	142.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +12.4%

MIA -5.2%

BKN +19.7%

BKN +19.6%

BKN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.1	105.5	102.2	105.2
season	15.7	15.6		105.1	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		105.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.2	16.8	17.3	17.0	16.5
MIA	14.2	14.5	17.8	13.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	43	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-12	25	15.3	17.7	-2.39	15.9	13.7	2.23
Alan Anderson	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-9	19	16.2	16.7	-0.45	14.9	14.8	0.09
Shaun Livingston	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	5	-9	17.2	13.8	3.37	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Paul Pierce	59	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.45	-6	7	-13	16.8	16.1	0.69	14.8	14.8	0.04
Andray Blatche	49	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-8	17	15.8	17.4	-1.61	15.3	14.2	1.08
Mason Plumlee	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.47	-8	9	-17	17.4	15.8	1.61	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Mirza Teletovic	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-6	13	16.1	16.8	-0.69	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Deron Williams	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.38	-7	8	-15	16.6	16.3	0.30	14.5	15.5	-0.94
Joe Johnson	64	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	10	-19	16.7	16.2	0.45	14.8	14.9	-0.09

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-11	21	15.1	14.3	0.82	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Michael Beasley	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	7	-15	16.2	14.6	1.58	15.6	16.7	-1.03
Mario Chalmers	69	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.43	8	-9	17	14.6	15.3	-0.74	16.7	16.1	0.63
Ray Allen	54	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-2	3	14.3	15.5	-1.21	16.6	16.4	0.18
Chris Andersen	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	6	-13	15.0	14.6	0.35	15.2	17.3	-2.08
Chris Bosh	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-6	11	14.8	14.7	0.09	17.1	15.0	2.03
LeBron James	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-3	5	14.4	16.2	-1.79	16.6	16.3	0.28
Norris Cole	27	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	12	-25	15.3	14.6	0.77	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Dwyane Wade	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	2	-5	14.9	14.3	0.58	16.8	15.4	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,0	92.1%
SAC 91, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	91.6%
UTA 98, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	91.5%