NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	8.6 [172]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): +37.7%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	5.4 [191]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -31.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.37,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	-0.04	0.22	-0.01	20	48%	0.25	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	9	65%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.02	0.08	-0.04	14	48%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	21	39%	0.08	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	0.01	-0.17	0.02	12	50%	-0.11	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.23	0.01	18	73%	0.54	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.04	0.04	5	89%	0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	0.01	-0.01	18	36%	0.03	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	6	0%	-0.14	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.22	-0.02	15	27%	-0.26	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.2	14.8	23.2	2.5	28.3	1.7	11.1	134.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.6%

CHA +5.5%

CHA +7.4%

CHA +5.8%

CHA +14.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	17.4	14.7	15.1	94.9	88.9	105.2
season	15.7	15.1		102.4	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.9	17.3	16.8	19.5	18.7	17.4
WAS	15.4	13.4	13.2	16.5	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	52	57	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-7	20	18.5	16.3	2.26	15.5	13.5	1.96
Kemba Walker	82	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	16.8	20.4	-3.51	14.9	13.6	1.30
Al Jefferson	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	1	4	17.0	19.3	-2.31	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Gerald Henderson	64	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	4	-2	17.2	17.8	-0.59	14.8	14.4	0.42
Cody Zeller	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	0	6	16.0	18.4	-2.34	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Chris Douglas-Roberts	38	40	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-1	8	17.3	17.5	-0.17	14.3	14.9	-0.55
Bismack Biyombo	18	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	5	-4	19.3	17.0	2.31	15.5	14.5	1.03
Luke Ridnour	17	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	20.4	16.8	3.51	13.6	14.9	-1.30
Josh McRoberts	51	52	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	12	-18	18.3	16.5	1.79	15.2	14.1	1.17
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	44	40	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	16	-26	16.6	18.1	-1.58	13.6	15.4	-1.85

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	24	24	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.24	0	-6	6	16.2	14.2	2.08	19.6	16.7	2.88
Martell Webster	45	43	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.11	2	-8	10	14.6	14.7	-0.10	17.6	17.3	0.28
Nene	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-8	10	13.8	15.1	-1.23	18.1	17.1	1.01
Andre Miller	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	15.2	14.6	0.60	20.1	16.9	3.26
Garrett Temple	1	0	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	3.0	14.8	-11.80	0.0	17.4	-17.44
Bradley Beal	78	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.2	0.62	17.9	15.7	2.18
Trevor Booker	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	2	-10	14.7	14.7	-0.05	17.0	18.1	-1.11
John Wall	80	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	14.6	15.2	-0.60	16.9	20.1	-3.26
Marcin Gortat	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-2	-2	14.7	14.6	0.14	17.1	19.3	-2.23
Trevor Ariza	75	76	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.45	-13	7	-20	14.6	15.0	-0.43	16.7	20.0	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.79,0.47,0.28,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.17,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 123, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.01,0	90.1%
IND 98, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,0	89.4%
MIA 101, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.27,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.22,0.15,0	89.2%