NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	4.3 [954]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +15.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.6 [388]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -20.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.10	0.03	4	80%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Courtney Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	9	78%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	18	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.06	-0.03	15	23%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.04	15	69%	0.13	2	0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.04	11	54%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	5	85%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	18	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.02	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	24.3	16.0	23.3	2.5	30.2	121.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +42.8%

MEM -6.6%

MIN +8.4%

MIN +3.7%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.1	95.7	110.9	105.2
season	16.4	14.6		104.5	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.2		104.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.5	15.5	16.4	13.5	16.1
MIN	15.5	15.1	13.6	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	11.3	16.5	-5.26	16.1	15.1	1.06
James Johnson	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-23	32	12.7	17.6	-4.93	17.2	14.2	3.04
Kosta Koufos	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-15	16	14.7	16.4	-1.68	17.0	14.8	2.19
Ed Davis	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-16	18	13.0	17.9	-4.85	16.9	14.2	2.73
Mike Conley	62	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-8	2	17.2	14.0	3.18	15.3	14.9	0.39
Tony Allen	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-8	2	13.6	17.2	-3.66	15.5	15.0	0.47
Mike Miller	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-8	2	15.2	17.6	-2.32	14.8	15.7	-0.84
Tayshaun Prince	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-4	-6	20.5	14.6	5.84	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Zach Randolph	52	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	-2	-10	17.7	14.0	3.70	14.3	16.3	-2.04
Nick Calathes	30	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	14.0	17.2	-3.18	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Marc Gasol	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	5	-24	17.6	13.0	4.54	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Courtney Lee	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	5	-24	17.6	12.7	4.93	14.5	16.6	-2.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-1	16	14.2	17.2	-2.98	17.3	13.7	3.53
Kevin Martin	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-1	16	14.3	17.1	-2.81	17.0	14.1	2.87
Kevin Love	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	0	14	14.4	17.4	-3.03	17.0	13.5	3.41
Corey Brewer	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	3	8	14.8	16.1	-1.39	16.7	14.9	1.74
Ronny Turiaf	41	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	7	0	16.7	13.9	2.74	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Gorgui Dieng	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	9	-4	14.1	16.3	-2.21	17.5	14.7	2.80
Shabazz Muhammad	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	11	-8	16.1	14.8	1.39	14.9	16.7	-1.74
Dante Cunningham	20	19	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	12	-10	17.4	14.5	2.92	14.4	16.6	-2.23
Chase Budinger	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	13	-12	16.6	14.5	2.08	13.8	17.2	-3.38
Jose Juan Barea	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	15	-16	17.2	14.2	2.98	13.7	17.3	-3.53
Robbie Hummel	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	17.3	15.1	2.24	8.3	16.4	-8.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
POR 105, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 86, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%