inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 79 Excitement3.9 [986] MVPRex Chapman (PHX): +10.2%
Phoenix Suns 100 Comeback1.4 [568] LVPMonty Williams (SAS): -11.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chuck Person0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.041267%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01747%0.0200.0010%0.00
Malik Rose0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0930%0.0020.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04420%-0.0200.0020%0.00
Will Perdue-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.02650%-0.012-0.014100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.041347%-0.012-0.02650%-0.03
Avery Johnson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.01-0.03933%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Carl Herrera-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00928%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
David Robinson-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.011737%-0.1000.00771%-0.00
Monty Williams-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.00542%-0.033-0.08250%-0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rex Chapman0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.020.031269%0.1000.002100%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.02-0.031259%0.091-0.003100%0.02
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01881%0.0720.0000%0.00
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.02-0.021447%0.0500.002100%0.01
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brooks Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marko Milic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.010.051164%-0.011-0.00633%-0.06
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02945%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Hot Rod Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00320%-0.0800.00450%-0.03
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.04717%-0.0800.00425%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.830.016.625.31.724.4122.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +32.7%
PHX +2.6%
SAS -9.5%
PHX +24.9%
SAS -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game16.116.115.688.8111.1102.5
season15.915.0100.9105.3
opponent15.915.9100.097.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS19.216.015.214.616.1
PHX16.817.515.514.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose1616-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-232512.616.9-4.2414.116.5-2.38
Will Perdue2828-0.06-0.440.37-0.00-2-191713.517.3-3.8514.416.9-2.50
Cory Alexander3938-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-14714.817.1-2.3715.216.7-1.46
Carl Herrera1516-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-171313.716.6-2.9313.516.6-3.14
Tim Duncan5555-0.18-0.320.150.23-14-7-717.314.23.0216.215.90.36
Reggie Geary3537-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-11114.317.3-3.0414.816.9-2.11
Jaren Jackson4445-0.25-0.250.010.05-10-11117.614.62.9516.815.31.53
Chuck Person5556-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-7-716.814.91.9217.014.52.49
David Robinson5656-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-15-6-917.413.93.4417.114.32.82
Avery Johnson6060-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-15-6-916.914.32.6116.814.62.17
Monty Williams4243-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-16-5-1115.916.3-0.4216.116.10.03

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd65650.390.110.29-0.161921716.515.11.3816.515.01.51
Rex Chapman54520.350.150.19-0.09156916.116.00.0816.515.50.96
Steve Nash50500.320.180.13-0.151651115.516.7-1.2116.116.10.04
George McCloud55540.310.190.12-0.191741315.516.9-1.3715.916.5-0.59
Cedric Ceballos49480.280.220.05-0.021011-116.315.80.5915.816.5-0.67
Mark Bryant22200.260.240.01-0.01912-316.316.00.3217.715.62.06
Hot Rod Williams57550.230.27-0.04-0.061011-115.716.8-1.1215.217.6-2.41
Clifford Robinson38390.220.28-0.06-0.16138517.115.31.7317.814.82.97
Antonio McDyess36380.160.34-0.19-0.08813-516.615.70.8417.714.92.72
Brooks Thompson12120.000.50-0.500.18-627-3315.216.2-1.0510.816.9-6.09
Marko Milic12120.000.50-0.500.18-627-3315.216.2-1.0510.816.9-6.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, DET 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MIA 78, SAS 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
NYK 82, DET 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%