inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 123 Excitement10.6 [58] MVPMonta Ellis (DAL): +37.5%
Dallas Mavericks 122 Comeback5.6 [162] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -45.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Love0.280,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.11,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.06,0.280.140.170.032065%0.454-0.171479%-0.05
Ricky Rubio0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.110.011271%0.283-0.09786%0.06
Gorgui Dieng0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.035100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.02430%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Jose Juan Barea0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.001354%0.072-0.07250%-0.01
Chase Budinger-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robbie Hummel-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.02-0.13-0.00650%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.110,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11-0.02-0.09-0.001543%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Martin-0.270,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.01-0.260.001553%-0.213-0.076100%0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06,0.22,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.370.370.070.320.011563%0.513-0.14580%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00782%0.174-0.093100%0.01
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.01370%0.0700.00425%-0.06
Jose Calderon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.03967%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00744%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.090.011148%-0.064-0.095100%0.03
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.170.05-0.190.031267%-0.012-0.1600%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.35,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.46-0.46-0.04-0.390.032745%-0.422-0.04683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.72.030.516.024.31.631.91.713.4146.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -16.7%
MIN +33.9%
MIN +20.7%
MIN +9.3%
MIN +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game14.314.015.1108.8108.9105.2
season14.615.3107.3109.0
opponent15.014.5107.0104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN10.914.914.816.015.914.3
DAL15.712.215.812.314.114.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Rubio1051040.65-0.150.790.3211-102114.116.4-2.2614.013.20.80
Corey Brewer1021010.62-0.120.750.3310-91914.016.9-2.9214.113.20.90
Gorgui Dieng51510.340.160.18-0.1015-142914.114.4-0.2915.812.43.40
Dante Cunningham40370.330.170.160.185-4914.214.3-0.0814.513.70.82
Jose Juan Barea43410.280.220.070.2510113.814.6-0.7813.714.2-0.49
Kevin Love89890.170.33-0.170.43-910-1913.915.8-1.9813.715.0-1.27
Kevin Martin78790.070.43-0.360.36-1011-2114.813.21.5614.113.80.29
Chase Budinger1111-0.120.62-0.750.14-910-1916.914.02.9213.214.1-0.90
Robbie Hummel3637-0.330.83-1.17-0.04-1011-2115.113.91.2711.515.2-3.74

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter66650.06-0.560.630.30-87-1513.314.9-1.6013.715.0-1.30
Samuel Dalembert4243-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-3515.713.02.6815.313.61.66
DeJuan Blair34-0.07-0.430.350.01-32-515.713.91.728.014.5-6.50
Jae Crowder3231-0.08-0.420.35-0.4312-132513.314.3-0.9914.814.10.73
Monta Ellis7475-0.15-0.350.21-0.5012-132514.113.70.4615.412.13.27
Wayne Ellington89-0.22-0.280.060.16-1312-2514.913.90.959.014.7-5.73
Dirk Nowitzki8083-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.363-4714.213.60.6014.713.11.64
Shawn Marion8281-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.568-91713.814.4-0.5614.314.3-0.05
Jose Calderon5759-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.648-91713.814.2-0.4114.414.10.35
Brandan Wright4544-0.49-0.01-0.490.03-1817-3514.513.70.8013.514.8-1.27
Devin Harris7171-0.510.01-0.52-0.27-87-1513.415.0-1.5113.615.4-1.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.28,0.43,0.84,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.43,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 94, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.73,186.4%
MIN 116, NJN 1150.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.63,0.24,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.73,086.3%
UTA 95, CHA 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.17,0.24,0.36,0.31,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.28,086.0%