NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	9.0 [143]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +23.7%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	30.0 [102]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -16.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24	-0.02	0.24	-0.01	10	50%	0.27	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.08
Lance Stephenson	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	-0.02	0.17	-0.00	15	43%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.28,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	15	61%	0.24	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
David West	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	13	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	0.14	-0.09	0.06	19	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.05
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	18	37%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	7	70%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.03	0.13	-0.02	23	47%	0.19	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	4	44%	0.04	2	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	13	34%	-0.07	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	31.7	15.7	25.5	2.5	38.2	0.8	14.9	156.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.3%

IND +3.3%

IND +29.5%

DET -0.3%

DET -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	13.9	15.1	104.7	98.1	105.2
season	15.8	15.0		102.7	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	15.7	18.2	14.5	15.6	15.7	15.9
DET	11.6	14.5	16.2	13.3	15.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	94	93	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-9	26	15.5	19.0	-3.52	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Roy Hibbert	64	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-5	18	16.7	14.7	1.94	14.8	12.7	2.16
David West	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-8	24	16.5	14.9	1.57	14.6	12.8	1.72
Lance Stephenson	70	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	7	-6	17.2	13.5	3.62	14.6	12.9	1.68
George Hill	67	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	6	-4	16.5	14.9	1.53	13.4	14.9	-1.54
Rasual Butler	30	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	14.7	16.4	-1.72	14.4	13.8	0.66
Solomon Hill	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	9.0	16.0	-6.97	0.0	14.1	-14.08
Luis Scola	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.25	-8	16	-24	14.9	16.5	-1.57	12.8	14.6	-1.72
Andrew Bynum	42	44	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	13	-18	14.8	16.6	-1.77	12.7	14.8	-2.16
Evan Turner	60	61	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.22	2	6	-4	15.1	16.9	-1.76	14.0	13.9	0.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	33	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-12	16	15.4	13.3	2.15	16.1	15.8	0.27
Will Bynum	30	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-10	12	14.3	13.8	0.50	16.1	15.8	0.27
Andre Drummond	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	13.0	14.1	-1.08	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-4	0	16.4	13.4	2.95	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Charlie Villanueva	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	16.8	13.2	3.63	15.2	16.1	-0.86
Rodney Stuckey	86	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	13.9	14.3	-0.44	16.4	13.4	3.02
Greg Monroe	83	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-4	0	13.2	16.8	-3.63	16.1	15.2	0.86
Brandon Jennings	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	13.8	14.3	-0.50	15.8	16.1	-0.27
Kyle Singler	94	96	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	1	-10	13.7	16.2	-2.51	15.7	17.4	-1.62
Josh Smith	73	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	4	-16	13.3	15.4	-2.15	15.8	16.1	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.66,0.69,0.9,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.01,0	89.5%
NOH 109, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	89.3%
MIN 101, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.02,0,0	87.9%