NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	92		Excitement	8.7 [161]		MVP	Kenneth Faried (DEN): +36.7%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	2.0 [691]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -41.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0.37	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.37,0.37	0.11	0.27	0.02	13	64%	0.39	1	-0.02	13	54%	-0.17
Darrell Arthur	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.11	-0.02	9	39%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.02	-0.18	-0.01	10	60%	-0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41	-0.23	-0.22	-0.04	12	7%	-0.37	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.00	8	100%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.19	0.19	-0.05	0.21	-0.03	13	52%	0.31	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.02
Pero Antic	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.11	0.02	12	62%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.03	17	48%	0.01	0	0.00	16	69%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	7	31%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.17	-0.02	13	42%	-0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	24.8	15.8	29.0	2.5	38.3	138.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +63.5%

DEN -6.2%

DEN -9.6%

ATL +2.1%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	ATL	NBA	DEN	ATL	NBA
this game	12.6	15.6	15.1	90.2	95.1	105.2
season	14.0	14.8		104.5	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.9	12.0	10.2	12.7	12.6
ATL	14.1	14.7	16.4	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	26	25	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.01	9	-14	23	13.3	12.4	0.87	14.4	16.0	-1.67
JJ Hickson	55	55	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-9	13	13.1	12.0	1.15	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Quincy Miller	19	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.09	4	-9	13	12.4	12.7	-0.31	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Jan Vesely	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-6	7	12.5	12.7	-0.16	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Evan Fournier	49	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.40	11	-16	27	12.3	12.9	-0.56	16.1	15.1	1.02
Aaron Brooks	53	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.43	12	-17	29	12.2	13.1	-0.93	16.0	15.2	0.79
Timofey Mozgov	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-1	-3	12.4	12.7	-0.38	16.7	15.2	1.52
Randy Foye	52	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	11	-27	12.9	12.3	0.58	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Ty Lawson	80	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	5	-15	12.8	12.0	0.79	15.6	15.5	0.12
Kenneth Faried	58	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.23	-18	13	-31	12.1	13.4	-1.31	15.6	15.6	0.01
Wilson Chandler	59	59	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.28	-18	13	-31	12.8	12.3	0.50	15.9	15.3	0.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	77	79	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.25	25	-20	45	15.6	15.5	0.13	12.9	11.5	1.47
Jeff Teague	76	78	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.24	25	-20	45	15.7	15.4	0.26	12.7	12.3	0.37
DeMarre Carroll	89	89	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.33	17	-12	29	15.4	17.2	-1.85	12.7	12.1	0.62
Kyle Korver	77	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-14	33	15.7	15.3	0.39	12.7	12.2	0.52
Pero Antic	49	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-12	29	15.8	15.5	0.34	12.6	12.6	0.06
Elton Brand	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.51	-10	15	-25	15.7	15.5	0.22	12.7	12.5	0.24
Cartier Martin	11	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	14	-23	14.6	15.7	-1.10	10.1	12.9	-2.83
Shelvin Mack	28	26	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.14	-20	25	-45	15.9	15.5	0.43	12.8	12.6	0.20
Dennis Schroder	26	24	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.11	-20	25	-45	15.4	15.7	-0.26	12.3	12.7	-0.37
Mike Scott	26	23	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	0.07	-19	24	-43	15.6	15.6	-0.05	11.5	12.9	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	91.6%
MEM 80, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.57,0.31,0.42,1	91.6%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	89.6%