NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	6.9 [448]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +32.2%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	2.0 [702]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (UTA): -11.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.32	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32	0.28	0.08	0.04	14	100%	0.39	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	5	110%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.06	0.10	-0.04	15	47%	0.15	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	9	63%	0.13	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.02	8	75%	0.18	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	62%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	18	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	60%	0.12	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	43%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.1	15.6	22.7	1.8	31.5	124.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.6%

UTA -4.2%

UTA -11.3%

DAL +11.1%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.1	117.4	109.8	105.2
season	15.3	16.2		109.0	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.6	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	15.2	16.4	13.9	15.6
UTA	16.9	15.4	16.3	14.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	65	64	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.18	22	-15	37	15.1	16.9	-1.71	15.9	15.1	0.80
Monta Ellis	70	68	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.56	1	6	-5	15.3	16.7	-1.43	15.9	14.9	1.07
Devin Harris	38	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-3	13	14.9	16.1	-1.23	14.5	16.5	-1.95
Wayne Ellington	27	26	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	-2	11	14.8	16.0	-1.22	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Jose Calderon	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	6	-5	16.1	14.8	1.27	15.9	15.1	0.83
Samuel Dalembert	32	31	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	8	-9	15.0	16.0	-0.94	16.2	15.4	0.75
Shawn Marion	64	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	9	-11	15.8	15.4	0.41	16.3	14.3	2.03
Bernard James	13	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	6	-5	16.1	15.6	0.51	17.3	15.4	1.92
Brandan Wright	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	1	5	15.4	15.7	-0.28	15.8	15.6	0.24
DeJuan Blair	19	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.0	15.5	0.45	13.2	16.3	-3.08
Vince Carter	43	47	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.12	-11	18	-29	17.6	13.9	3.73	15.3	16.0	-0.75

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	15.7	15.6	0.13	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Diante Garrett	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-4	1	16.2	15.4	0.79	13.8	16.3	-2.47
Marvin Williams	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	0	-7	16.0	15.4	0.64	16.8	14.7	2.14
Gordon Hayward	66	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.9	17.6	-2.67	16.1	14.4	1.71
Alec Burks	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-4	1	14.9	17.3	-2.36	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Derrick Favors	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-7	7	16.6	14.5	2.06	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Trey Burke	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	15.4	16.2	-0.79	16.3	13.8	2.47
Enes Kanter	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	1	-9	14.5	17.5	-2.94	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Richard Jefferson	55	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	17.4	13.1	4.36	15.6	15.7	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.63,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.0%
CLE 97, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0	92.0%
CHI 100, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.17,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%